Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 10

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Vitoria Guimarães B		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	1.85
	4.5	3	1.8
	3.7	3.3	1.87
	4.49	3.56	1.84
	3.6	3.1	1.95
	4.25	3.44	1.75	Watch
	3.8	3.35	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (3.2)	3.29 ↑ (3.1)	1.85 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria Guimarães B
22.9%

Draw
27.8%

Vilaverdense
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

29.3%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

28.9%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitoria Guimarães B's form might have worsened.

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vilaverdense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitoria Guimarães B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vilaverdense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group)).

Guimarães B has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vilaverdense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Vilaverdense is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães B
Portuguese Liga 3
12.11.22	Vitoria Guimarães B - Anadia	0:2 ✺
04.11.22	Varzim - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:0 ✺
30.10.22	Vitoria Guimarães B - Fafe	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	São João de Ver - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:1 ✺
08.10.22	Vitoria Guimarães B - Braga B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 3
12.11.22	Varzim - Vilaverdense	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
08.11.22	Vilaverdense - Oliveira Hospital	7:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
04.11.22	Vilaverdense - São João de Ver	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Montalegre - Vilaverdense	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	Vilaverdense - Sanjoanense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWTWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães B
Portuguese Liga 3
11.10.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Paços de Ferreira	✺

Vitoria Guimarães B - Vilaverdense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide