Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 7

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday


	Montalegre		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	1.93
	3.7	3.4	1.85
	3.35	3.4	1.93
	3.95	3.62	1.93
	3.65	3.62	1.82	Watch
	3.4	3.5	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↓ (4.08)	3.49 ↑ (3.24)	1.9 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montalegre
25.8%

Draw
26.2%

Vilaverdense
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

28%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

27.3%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montalegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Vilaverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montalegre than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+3%)

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group)).

Montalegre is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vilaverdense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Vilaverdense have a series of home games.

Vilaverdense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Montalegre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDC Montalegre
Portuguese Liga 3
22.10.22	Varzim - Montalegre	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
16.10.22	Montalegre - São João de Ver	1:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
09.10.22	Montalegre - São João de Ver	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
01.10.22	Leiria - Montalegre	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
17.09.22	Montalegre - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LLTWL
- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 3
22.10.22	Vilaverdense - Sanjoanense	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
16.10.22	Vilaverdense - Portimonense	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
08.10.22	Felgueiras - Vilaverdense	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Vilaverdense - Atlético CP	2:1 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
17.09.22	Vilaverdense - Anadia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.02.21	Vilaverdense - Montalegre	2:2
24.02.19	Vilaverdense - Montalegre	1:3
18.03.18	Vilaverdense - Montalegre	1:0

Montalegre - Vilaverdense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide