Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 17

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo Nº5 Comp Desp Dr Antº Pime Machado (Guimarães)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Vitoria Guimarães B		Fafe

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.98	2.52
	2.74	3.06	2.65	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.5
	2.65	2.92	2.54
	2.66	2.9	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.73)	2.93 ↑ (2.88)	2.56 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria Guimarães B
33.7%

Draw
30.9%

Fafe
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

31.4%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

31.8%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

The chances for Fafe have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Vitoria Guimarães B - Fafe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Guilherme (G) 76. Alcobia 82. Dias F. 73. Miguel Vaz 88. Nogueira M. 46. Nunes H. (C) 75. Oliveira A. 80. Rocha R. 96. Rodrigo Silva 32. Tepe M. 50. Zeega	64. Martins T. (G) 26. Batista J. 8. Braga V. 35. Cardoso F. (C) 77. Carlos Daniel 85. Castro D. 11. Picas 60. Ribeiro Oliveira J. 9. Santos J. 4. Teixeira L. 13. Vigario J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Nunes H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Carlos Daniel ↓, Ka ↑,
57', Miguel Vaz ↓, Fernando Silva ↑,
57', Tepe M. ↓, Paula G. ↑,
64', Ribeiro Oliveira J. ↓, Pinto G. ↑,
64', Santos J. ↓, Fonseca T. ↑,
73', Zeega ↓, Carvalho D. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Nogueira M. ⚽,
76', Picas ↓, Davis SIlva ↑,
76', Braga V. ↓, Amorim J. ↑,
85', Fernando Silva ↓, Vunge J. ↑,
90+2', Batista J. 🟨,
90+3', Paula G. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+7', Pinto G. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães B won 2.

Guimarães B has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fafe is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fafe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Guimarães B won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães B won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães B
Portuguese Liga 3
11.01.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Varzim	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Trofense - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Paredes	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Braga B - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - São João de Ver	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLTW
- AD Fafe
Taça de Portugal
14.01.26	Fafe - Braga	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
10.01.26	São João de Ver - Fafe	0:4 ✺
04.01.26	Fafe - Varzim	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
27.12.25	Lusitano GC - Fafe	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
21.12.25	Amarante - Fafe	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
25.10.25	Fafe - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:0
11.02.23	Fafe - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:0
30.10.22	Vitoria Guimarães B - Fafe	1:2
13.02.22	Fafe - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:3
06.11.21	Vitoria Guimarães B - Fafe	2:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
30.05.21	Vitoria Guimarães B - Fafe	0:1
08.05.21	Fafe - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:1

Vitoria Guimarães B - Fafe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide