Match Info

Date: 28 April 2021, Wednesday


	Vitória Salvador		Vitória da Conquista

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.28	4.5	9.75
	1.24	4.75	8.5
	1.26	4.2	13
	1.25	5.1	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.58)	4.43 ↑ (3.6)	9.45 ↑ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
69.6%

Draw
20.7%

Vitória da Conquista
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

16%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória Salvador's performance.

Vitória da Conquista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitória da Conquista might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-33.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória Salvador that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória da Conquista than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória da Conquista could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vitória Salvador - Vitória da Conquista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 and 8).

Recent matches Vitória is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vitória da Conquista is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vitória could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vitória is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Vitória won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
24.04.21	Ceará - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
21.04.21	Juazeirense - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
17.04.21	Vitória Salvador - Altos	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
14.04.21	Vitória Salvador - Doce Mel	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
10.04.21	4 de Julho - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTWLT
- Vitória da Conquista
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
17.04.21	UNIRB - Vitória da Conquista	3:2 ✺
07.04.21	Bahia de Feira - Vitória da Conquista	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	Vitória da Conquista - Juazeirense	1:2 ✺
14.03.21	Jacuipense - Vitória da Conquista	0:1 ✺
07.03.21	Vitória da Conquista - Bahia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
02.02.20	Vitória da Conquista - Vitória Salvador	1:2
24.01.19	Vitória Salvador - Vitória da Conquista	1:0
24.01.18	Vitória da Conquista - Vitória Salvador	0:2
23.04.17	Vitória Salvador - Vitória da Conquista	5:0
16.04.17	Vitória da Conquista - Vitória Salvador	1:1
02.02.17	Vitória Salvador - Vitória da Conquista	2:0
10.02.16	Vitória da Conquista - Vitória Salvador	1:1

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