Match Info
BRAZIL: Copa do Nordeste - Round 5Date: 5 March 2025, WednesdayLocation: Barradao (Salvador)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
World | Disney+ |
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Vitória Salvador |
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Altos |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.25 |
5.25 |
11 |
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 |
1.22 |
5.75 |
12.5 |
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 |
1.22 |
5.2 |
11 |
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 |
1.24 |
5.09 |
12.54 |
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 |
1.24 |
5.08 |
11.63 |
Watch |
 |
1.2 |
5 |
15 |
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 |
1.15 |
5.95 |
15 |
Watch |
 |
1.22 |
5.2 |
11 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.22 ↓ (1.42) |
5.32 ↑ (4.2) |
12.46 ↑ (6.4) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Vitória Salvador 75.4% | Draw 17.3% | Altos 7.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória Salvador's performance.Altos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Altos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória Salvador that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altos than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Vitória Salvador - Altos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 44. Baralhas (C) 96. Carlos Eduardo 88. Emerson Buiu 7. Gustavo Mosquito 16. Hugo 22. Lucas Braga 5. Lucas Halter 77. Neris 8. Ronald Lopes 10. Wellington Rato
| 1. Careca (G) 11. Felipe Sales 2. Gean 3. Joecio (C) 7. Leozidio 8. Luan 19. Lucas Reis 5. Marcos Antonio 6. Neto 10. Reinaldo 4. Savio
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| Substitutes |
37. Bruno Xavier 27. Caceres R. 99. Carlinhos 43. Edu 21. Gabriel (G) 83. Jamerson 11. Osvaldo 6. Pepe . Ricardo 17. Thiaguinho 29. Willian Oliveira 3. Ze Marcos
| 17. Cleiton 18. Digao 13. Leandro Amorim 12. Lucas Ferreira (G) 9. Rodrigao 21. Wesley Pratti
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Neris 🟨,
- 23', Lucas Reis 🟨,
- 26', Joecio 🟨,
- 29', Carlos Eduardo 🟥,
- 32', Leozidio ↓, Cleiton ↑,
- 33', Lucas Halter 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Hugo ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lucas Reis ↓, Rodrigao ↑,
- 46', Joecio ↓, Leandro Amorim ↑,
- 52', Reinaldo ↓, Digao ↑,
- 57', Savio ↓, Wesley Pratti ↑,
- 60', Cleiton 🟨,
- 63', Baralhas 🟨,
- 64', Wellington Rato ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
- 64', Baralhas ↓, Pepe ↑,
- 64', Emerson Buiu ↓, Caceres R. ↑,
- 75', Davidson L. 🟨,
- 75', Lucas Braga ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
- 75', Gustavo Mosquito ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
- 80', 🟨,
- 81', 1 - 1, Rodrigao ⚽,
- 85', Thiaguinho 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6). Vitória in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5). Altos is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Vitória could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Recently opponents have a series of guest games. In this match Vitória is indisputable favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Vitória won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3). Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;