Match Info

Date: 5 May 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Vitória da Conquista		Atlético de Alagoinhas

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.95
	2.1	3	3.3
	2.26	3.05	2.95
	2.35	3.24	3.13
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.29	3.08	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.98)	3.1 ↑ (2.97)	3.09 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória da Conquista
41%

Draw
29.5%

Atlético de Alagoinhas
29.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.5%

30.6%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

25%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória da Conquista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória da Conquista's performance.

Atlético de Alagoinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético de Alagoinhas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória da Conquista than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Vitória da Conquista - Atlético de Alagoinhas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Baiano (Play Offs)).

Vitória da Conquista is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Atlético de Alagoinhas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético de Alagoinhas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Vitória da Conquista have a series of guest games.

Recently Atlético de Alagoinhas have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vitória da Conquista won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitória da Conquista won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitória da Conquista
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
28.04.21	Vitória Salvador - Vitória da Conquista	2:0 ✺
17.04.21	UNIRB - Vitória da Conquista	3:2 ✺
07.04.21	Bahia de Feira - Vitória da Conquista	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	Vitória da Conquista - Juazeirense	1:2 ✺
14.03.21	Jacuipense - Vitória da Conquista	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLLW
- Atlético de Alagoinhas
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
18.04.21	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Jacuipense	2:2 ✺
04.04.21	Bahia - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:1 ✺
21.03.21	Atlético de Alagoinhas - UNIRB	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.03.21	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Vila Nova	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
14.03.21	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Doce Mel	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
29.01.20	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Vitória da Conquista	0:0
03.02.19	Vitória da Conquista - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:2

Vitória da Conquista - Atlético de Alagoinhas

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Vitória da Conquista - Atlético de Alagoinhas Predictions

Preview

Form

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