Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 5

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio das Seixas (Malveira)


	Atlético da Malveira		Vitória de Sernache

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.72	2.78
	2.64	2.68	2.78
	2.75	2.6	2.9	Watch
	2.63	2.6	2.75
	2.45	3.19	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.45)	2.76 ↓ (3)	2.8 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético da Malveira
34.7%

Draw
32.9%

Vitória de Sernache
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

29.9%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

31.8%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético da Malveira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Vitória de Sernache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético da Malveira than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Atlético da Malveira - Vitória de Sernache Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Malveira won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético da Malveira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
17.05.26	Louletano - Atlético da Malveira	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Atlético da Malveira - Oliveira Hospital	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	Vitória de Sernache - Atlético da Malveira	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Atlético da Malveira - Louletano	1:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
18.04.26	Louletano - Atlético da Malveira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLTLW
- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
17.05.26	Vitória de Sernache - Oliveira Hospital	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Louletano - Vitória de Sernache	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Vitória de Sernache - Atlético da Malveira	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Oliveira Hospital - Vitória de Sernache	1:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
18.04.26	Naval - Vitória de Sernache	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
03.05.26	Vitória de Sernache - Atlético da Malveira	0:0

Atlético da Malveira - Vitória de Sernache: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide