Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Viveiro		Céltiga

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.82	2.72
	2.61	2.8	2.78
	2.61	2.87	2.81
	2.63	2.63	2.8
	2.57	2.79	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.6)	2.78 ↓ (2.84)	2.77 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viveiro
34.8%

Draw
32.5%

Céltiga
32.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.1%

32%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

33%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viveiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Céltiga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viveiro than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Céltiga than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Viveiro - Céltiga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Viveiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Viveiro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Celtiga	8	2	4	2	8:8	0	10
18	Viveiro	8	1	2	5	5:10	-5	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viveiro CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
07.03.26	Atlético Arteixo - Viveiro	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Noia - Viveiro	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Viveiro - Boiro	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	RC Villalbes - Viveiro	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Viveiro - Barco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LWWTL
- Céltiga FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
08.03.26	Céltiga - Juventud Cambados	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Céltiga - Barco	0:0 ✺
18.02.26	Céltiga - Estradense	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Compostela - Céltiga	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Somozas - Céltiga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
26.10.25	Céltiga - Viveiro	2:1

Viveiro - Céltiga