Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Compostela		Céltiga

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.95	6.1
	1.46	4.08	6.34
	1.56	3.77	5.79	Watch
	1.44	3.6	7
	1.41	3.85	7.5
	1.48	4	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.38)	3.88 ↓ (4.05)	6.41 ↓ (7.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
62.2%

Draw
23.5%

Céltiga
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

22.4%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

21.7%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Céltiga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Compostela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Céltiga than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Compostela - Céltiga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, ⚽,
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
81', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 9).

Compostela is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Céltiga has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Compostela is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Compostela won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Compostela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Celtiga	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
01.02.26	Compostela - Boiro	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Barco - Compostela	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Compostela - Viveiro	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Estradense - Compostela	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Compostela - Somozas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWWW
- Céltiga FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
01.02.26	Somozas - Céltiga	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Céltiga - Montañeros	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Céltiga - Arosa	3:4 ✺
10.01.26	Atlético Arteixo - Céltiga	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Céltiga - Noia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
27.01.19	Céltiga - Compostela	1:5
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
18.03.18	Compostela - Céltiga	1:0

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