Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 6

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Estádio do Vizela (Caldas de Vizela)

Referee: Correia G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV5


	Vizela		Leixões

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	4.1	Watch
	1.88	3.2	4.25
	1.92	3.35	4.67
	2.13	3.17	3.53	Watch
	1.86	3.23	4.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.7)	3.21 ↓ (3.37)	4.21 ↓ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vizela
48.6%

Draw
29.1%

Leixões
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

27.4%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

26.4%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vizela's form might have worsened.

Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vizela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Vizela - Leixões Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vizela will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Leixões will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vizela: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gomis A. (G) 21. Ramos R. 37. Sampaio J. 22. Busnic A. 4. Rhyner J. 5. Moha Moukhliss 6. Jota Goncalves (C) 23. Fortune Y. 24. Morschel H. 17. Tavares M. 11. Ntolla N.	1. Morro M. (G) 77. Paulinho 3. Figueiredo L. 4. Rafael Santos 15. Simaozinho 36. Dodo D. 5. Naldo 11. Agra S. 8. Neto (C) 7. Werton 35. Rochez B.
Substitutes
8. Bastunov A. 55. Hristov A. 40. Italo Henrique 29. Kitala Y. 7. Loppy D. 14. Pierre L. 47. Ramos P. 25. Ruly (G) 33. Schutte R.	22. Araujo C. 14. Diaz L. 13. Evrard Zag 18. Kanuric B. 19. Moshood M. 10. Paulite 30. Serif N. 51. Stefanovic I. (G) 88. Yahaya A.
Coaches
Sousa R.	Fonseca J. N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Figueiredo L. 🟨,
24', Busnic A. 🟨,
27', Dodo D. 🟨,
37', Rafael Santos 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sampaio J. ↓, Loppy D. ↑,
58', Dodo D. ↓, Evrard Zag ↑,
61', Busnic A. ↓, Pierre L. ↑,
67', Werton ↓, Araujo C. ↑,
68', Fortune Y. ↓, Kitala Y. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Loppy D. ⚽, Tavares M. (A),
75', Evrard Zag 🟨,
78', Morschel H. 🟨,
79', Agra S. ↓, Yahaya A. ↑,
79', Neto ↓, Moshood M. ↑,
79', Rafael Santos ↓, Paulite ↑,
80', Yahaya A. 🟨,
86', Pierre L. 🟨,
87', Ramos R. ↓, Italo Henrique ↑,
87', Morschel H. ↓, Bastunov A. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Moha Moukhliss ⚽,
90+2', Naldo 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vizela won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Vizela is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Vizela won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Vizela won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vizela
Taça de Portugal
20.09.25	Sintrense - Vizela	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
14.09.25	Marítimo - Vizela	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Vizela - Oliveirense	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Portimonense - Vizela	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Vizela - Porto B	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTWTW
- Leixões SC
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Naval - Leixões	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
13.09.25	Leixões - Farense	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Feirense - Leixões	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Leixões - Penafiel	3:2 ✺
17.08.25	Benfica B - Leixões	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
16.02.25	Vizela - Leixões	0:0
15.09.24	Leixões - Vizela	0:1
29.03.21	Leixões - Vizela	0:4
07.11.20	Vizela - Leixões	2:1
19.02.17	Vizela - Leixões	1:1
17.09.16	Leixões - Vizela	0:0

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