Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 3

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Mar (Matosinhos)

Referee: Neves G. (Por)


	Leixões		Penafiel

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4.1
	1.83	3.25	3.7
	1.82	3.4	4.05
	1.89	3.61	4.51
	1.82	3.54	4.21	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.8
	1.89	3.5	4.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.86)	3.41 ↓ (3.46)	4.06 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leixões
50.1%

Draw
27.1%

Penafiel
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

27%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Leixões - Penafiel Predictions

Users Predictions: Leixões will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leixões will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Morro M. (G) 77. Paulinho 3. Figueiredo L. 4. Rafael Santos 15. Simaozinho 8. Neto 22. Araujo C. 10. Paulite 11. Agra S. 91. Valente R. (C) 7. Werton	32. Femenias J. (G) 22. Xico 4. Miguel J. (C) 33. Moreira C. 2. lano Imbene 21. Pedro Sa 8. Reko 37. Davo 88. Alves R. 23. Maddi 19. Alcaina R.
Substitutes
13. Evrard Zag 18. Kanuric B. 19. Moshood M. 5. Naldo 6. Paulinho 35. Rochez B. 30. Serif N. 51. Stefanovic I. (G) 88. Yahaya A.	75. Alloh T. 3. Gustavo Fernandes 27. Negrao G. 1. Oliveira Miguel (G) 14. Pereira B. 95. Sery J. 10. Silva J. 9. Suker H. 7. Vieira P.
Coaches
Fonseca J. N.	Russiano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', Araujo C. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Valente R. ⚽,
22', Rafael Santos 🟨,
27', 2 - 0, Valente R. ⚽, Agra S. (A),
41', Reko 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Maddi ↓, Sery J. ↑,
46', Miguel J. ↓, Gustavo Fernandes ↑,
56', lano Imbene 🟨,
57', Moreira C. 🟨,
59', Araujo C. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
65', Valente R. ↓, Yahaya A. ↑,
65', Werton ↓, Moshood M. ↑,
71', Xico ↓, Negrao G. ↑,
71', Alves R. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
72', Morro M. 🟨,
74', Paulite ↓, Kanuric B. ↑,
74', Simaozinho ↓, Serif N. ↑,
75', 3 - 0, Moshood M. ⚽, Yahaya A. (A),
79', Alcaina R. ↓, Suker H. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Reko (Pen),
87', 3 - 2, Suker H. ⚽,
89', Pedro Sa 🟨,
89', Moshood M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 2.

Penafiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Leixões is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
17.08.25	Benfica B - Leixões	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Leixões - Felgueiras	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Leixões - Chaves	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
14.05.25	Leixões - Feirense	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Torreense - Leixões	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWLWL
- FC Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2
17.08.25	Penafiel - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Portimonense - Penafiel	2:1 ✺
15.05.25	Penafiel - Chaves	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Benfica B - Penafiel	1:1 ✺
05.05.25	Penafiel - Torreense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
27.04.25	Leixões - Penafiel	3:1
14.12.24	Penafiel - Leixões	3:1
21.01.24	Leixões - Penafiel	0:1
13.08.23	Penafiel - Leixões	3:0
29.01.23	Leixões - Penafiel	2:1
08.08.22	Penafiel - Leixões	0:0
01.04.22	Leixões - Penafiel	0:1

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