Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 14

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Vogherese		Alcione

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.6	1.71
	3.63	3.58	1.78
	3.63	3.58	1.79
	4.15	3.64	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (2.07)	3.6 ↑ (3.4)	1.75 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vogherese
23.5%

Draw
25%

Alcione
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

26.4%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

27.4%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vogherese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vogherese's form might have worsened.

Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alcione's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vogherese than the current prediction. (+21.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vogherese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-22.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alcione, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Vogherese - Alcione Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alcione will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Vogherese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcione is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vogherese will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AVC Vogherese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
12.11.23	Borgosesia - Vogherese	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Vogherese - Lavagnese	1:3 ✺
01.11.23	Bra - Vogherese	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Gozzano - Vogherese	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Vogherese - Chieri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLTLW
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group A
12.11.23	Alcione - Lavagnese	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Chisola - Alcione	0:0 ✺
01.11.23	Alcione - Gozzano	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Pinerolo - Alcione	0:3 ✺
22.10.23	Alcione - Derthona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTTWT

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