Match Info

Date: 15 August 2021, Sunday


	Volga Ulyanovsk		Nosta Novotroitsk

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.4	6.25
	1.37	4.75	5.75
	1.43	4.2	5.2
	1.38	4.55	6.36
	1.42	4.55	6.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 (1.4)	4.49 ↓ (4.65)	5.93 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volga Ulyanovsk
64.6%

Draw
20.1%

Nosta Novotroitsk
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

19.8%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78%

16.7%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volga Ulyanovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Nosta Novotroitsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Volga Ulyanovsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nosta Novotroitsk than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Volga Ulyanovsk - Nosta Novotroitsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL and 14).

Volga Ulyanovsk is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nosta has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nosta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nosta have a series of home games.

In this match Volga Ulyanovsk is certain favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Volga Ulyanovsk won 6 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Volga Ulyanovsk won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian Cup
11.08.21	Volga Ulyanovsk - Saransk	0:2 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
07.08.21	Volga Ulyanovsk - Amkar Perm	0:0 ✺
01.08.21	Torpedo Miass - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
28.07.21	Spartak Tuymazy - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
24.07.21	Lada Togliatti - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWWW
- Nosta Novotroitsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
07.08.21	Nosta Novotroitsk - Dynamo Barnaul	0:2 ✺
04.08.21	Nosta Novotroitsk - Irtysh Omsk	1:4 ✺
24.07.21	Ural 2 - Nosta Novotroitsk	2:1 ✺
18.07.21	Nosta Novotroitsk - Spartak Tuymazy	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
14.07.21	Nosta Novotroitsk - Torpedo Miass	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 4
30.04.21	Nosta Novotroitsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0
Russian PFL Ural-Povolzhye
13.10.19	Volga Ulyanovsk - Nosta Novotroitsk	2:2
08.08.19	Nosta Novotroitsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:3
16.05.19	Nosta Novotroitsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0
09.04.19	Volga Ulyanovsk - Nosta Novotroitsk	1:2
09.09.18	Nosta Novotroitsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:2
20.05.18	Nosta Novotroitsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1

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