Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Round 11

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday


	Orenburg-2		Khimik Dzerzhinsk

	1	X	2
	3.27	3.22	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.83)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	2.06 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orenburg-2
27.8%

Draw
28.2%

Khimik Dzerzhinsk
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

28.4%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

28.4%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orenburg-2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Khimik Dzerzhinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg-2 than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik Dzerzhinsk than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Orenburg 2 - Khimik Dzerzhinsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Morozov I. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Gruznov I. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 2, Nikiforov N. ⚽,
90+4', Breslavtsev I. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In recent matches, Orenburg-2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Khimik Dzerzhinsk is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Khimik Dzerzhinsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Orenburg-2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Orenburg-2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Khimik	28	23	2	3	67:19	48	71

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orenburg-2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
31.05.26	Izhevsk - Orenburg-2	2:2 ✺
24.05.26	Orenburg-2 - KDV Tomsk	3:0 ✺
18.05.26	Krylya Sovetov 2 - Orenburg-2	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Rubin 2 Kazan - Orenburg-2	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Orenburg-2 - Nosta Novotroitsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWTLW
- Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
30.05.26	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Rubin 2 Kazan	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Nosta Novotroitsk - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Dynamo Barnaul	4:1 ✺
10.05.26	Akron Tolyatti 2 - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	1:5 ✺
03.05.26	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
28.09.25	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Orenburg-2	0:0
22.06.25	Orenburg-2 - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	0:3

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