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Current Win Probability
Volna Kovernino 51%
Draw 26.3%
Krylya Sovetov 2 22.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.2%
27%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
26.5%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volna Kovernino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Volna Kovernino's performance.
Krylya Sovetov 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Krylya Sovetov 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volna Kovernino than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Volna Kovernino that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov 2 than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krylya Sovetov 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Volna Kovernino - Krylya Sovetov 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Migunov I. (G) 4. Abramov A. (C) 6. Chibisov S. 91. Chugunov N. 77. Kostyukov M. 7. Mutaliev A. 98. Pozdnyakov E. 99. Savitskiy I. 12. Saygushev V. 90. Severyanov I. 30. Volkov A.
61. Beltyukov D. (C) 55. Chalyi A. 63. Chistyakov E. 65. Gribakin I. 72. Ivlev N. 29. Karpitskiy E. 79. Khugaev I. 33. Lysov A. 98. Maksimov N. 56. Radaev A. 50. Truntaev E. Y.
Substitutes
51. Alekseev E. (G) 33. Chaligava A. 2. Chechetkin D. 97. Kotelnikov D. 78. Mukhin E. 88. Shamaev K. 17. Shcherbin R. 81. Smirnov O. (G) 22. Sokolov B. 18. Volkov O. 11. Voronov D. 8. Zabotkin M.
68. Azbukin A. 85. Belikov A. 71. Nedospasov M. (G) 59. Saveljev D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Khugaev I. ↓, Belikov A. ↑,
38', Maksimov N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Chibisov S. 🟨,
57', Chugunov N. ↓, Zabotkin M. ↑,
57', Kostyukov M. ↓, Mukhin E. ↑,
69', Severyanov I. ↓, Voronov D. ↑,
71', Karpitskiy E. ↓, Saveljev D. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Voronov D. ⚽,
82', Truntaev E. Y. ↓, Azbukin A. ↑,
85', Radaev A. 🟨,
90+1', Mutaliev A. ↓, Shcherbin R. ↑,
90+1', Pozdnyakov E. ↓, Volkov O. ↑,
90+3', Voronov D. 🟨,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).
Volna Kovernino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Krylya Sovetov 2 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Krylya Sovetov 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Volna Kovernino has had a series of home games.
In this match, Volna Kovernino is seen as the favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Volna Kovernino won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Volna Kovernino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
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Migunov I. (G) 
Karpitskiy E. 
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