Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Volna Kovernino		Arsenal Tula

	1	X	2
	8.07	4.74	1.36	Watch
	9.4	5.53	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.74 ↓ (9)	5.14 ↓ (5.5)	1.36 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volna Kovernino
11%

Draw
18.6%

Arsenal Tula
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.9%

17.8%

71.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

13.9%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volna Kovernino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volna Kovernino than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal Tula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Volna Kovernino - Arsenal Tula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Smirnov O. (G) 4. Abramov A. (C) 6. Chibisov S. 78. Mukhin E. 7. Mutaliev A. 98. Pozdnyakov E. 99. Savitskiy I. 12. Saygushev V. 90. Severyanov I. 30. Volkov A. 8. Zabotkin M.	42. Melikhov A. (G) 17. Ahlinvi M. 59. Avanesyan T. 77. Berdnikov A. 31. Bolshakov K. (C) 11. Djuranovic U. 45. Karmaev N. 78. Lipovoy D. 46. Moskalenchik I. 5. Sergeev D. 25. Troshechkin A.
Substitutes
51. Alekseev E. (G) 33. Chaligava A. 2. Chechetkin D. 77. Kostyukov M. 97. Kotelnikov D. 1. Migunov I. (G) 88. Shamaev K. 17. Shcherbin R. 22. Sokolov B. 18. Volkov O. 11. Voronov D.	24. Azyavin I. 19. Bogdanets K. 44. Isaenko O. 48. Lychagin A. 95. Obryvkov S. 15. Putsko A. 1. Sangare D. (G) 22. Tsaraev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Troshechkin A. ⚽, Lipovoy D. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Avanesyan T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Mukhin E. ↓, Voronov D. ↑,
60', Sergeev D. ↓, Tsaraev A. ↑,
60', Lipovoy D. ↓, Bogdanets K. ↑,
69', Zabotkin M. ↓, Kostyukov M. ↑,
69', Abramov A. ↓, Shamaev K. ↑,
69', Saygushev V. ↓, Shcherbin R. ↑,
72', Ahlinvi M. ↓, Azyavin I. ↑,
78', Volkov A. ↓, Chechetkin D. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Bogdanets K. ⚽,
90+2', Djuranovic U. ↓, Lychagin A. ↑,
90+2', Berdnikov A. ↓, Isaenko O. ↑,

Preview

Volna Kovernino has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arsenal's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Volna Kovernino has had a series of home games.

In this match, Arsenal is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volna Kovernino
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
21.09.25	Volna Kovernino - Akron Tolyatti 2	4:2 ✺
14.09.25	Volna Kovernino - KDV Tomsk	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
10.09.25	Volna Kovernino - Tyumen	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
07.09.25	Orenburg-2 - Volna Kovernino	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Volna Kovernino - Chelyabinsk 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTWLL
- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
20.09.25	Arsenal Tula - Ufa	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Arsenal Tula - Spartak Kostroma	1:2 ✺
08.09.25	Fakel - Arsenal Tula	1:0 ✺
03.09.25	Arsenal Tula - SKA Khabarovsk	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Arsenal Tula	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TLLWL

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