Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 15

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday


	Volna Kovernino		Shumbrat Saransk

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.40	6.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.82)	3.4 ↑ (3.32)	6.16 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volna Kovernino
58.6%

Draw
26.7%

Shumbrat Saransk
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.3%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

26.1%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volna Kovernino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Volna Kovernino's performance.

Shumbrat Saransk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shumbrat Saransk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volna Kovernino than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Volna Kovernino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shumbrat Saransk than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shumbrat Saransk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Volna Kovernino - Shumbrat Saransk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Gogrichiani G. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Karpov K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
56', 1 - 2, Lomukhin A. ⚽,
63', 2 - 2, Gogrichiani G. ⚽,
84', 3 - 2, Chugunov N. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 3, Yusupov R. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3).

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

In this match, Volna Kovernino is considered a favorite.

We predict that Volna Kovernino will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Volna Nizhegorodskaya	26	20	2	4	50:17	33	62
7	FK Shumbrat Saransk	26	13	5	8	46:35	11	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volna Kovernino
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
27.06.26	Spartak Tambov - Volna Kovernino	0:2 ✺
20.06.26	Volna Kovernino - Avangard Kursk	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Saturn Ramenskoye - Volna Kovernino	0:3 ✺
06.06.26	Ryazan - Volna Kovernino	0:1 ✺
27.05.26	Volna Kovernino - Rotor 2	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWW
- FK Shumbrat Saransk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
27.06.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Ryazan	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Rotor 2 - Shumbrat Saransk	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Kvant Obninsk	4:0 ✺
06.06.26	Salyut Belgorod - Shumbrat Saransk	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Oryol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW

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