Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 11

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Salyut Belgorod		Shumbrat Saransk

	1	X	2
	1.94	3.14	3.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.61)	3.14 ↑ (2.99)	3.73 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salyut Belgorod
46.8%

Draw
28.9%

Shumbrat Saransk
24.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.4%

30.1%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

30.5%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salyut Belgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salyut Belgorod's performance.

Shumbrat Saransk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shumbrat Saransk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salyut Belgorod than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salyut Belgorod that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shumbrat Saransk than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shumbrat Saransk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Salyut Belgorod - Shumbrat Saransk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, Chubukin A. ⚽,
68', 0 - 2, Lomukhin A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4).

Salyut is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shumbrat has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Salyut is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Salyut-Belgorod	29	18	4	7	62:27	35	58
8	FK Shumbrat Saransk	29	13	6	10	47:38	9	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salyut Belgorod
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
30.05.26	Spartak Tambov - Salyut Belgorod	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Salyut Belgorod - Avangard Kursk	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Volna Kovernino - Salyut Belgorod	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Salyut Belgorod - Ryazan	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Rotor 2 - Salyut Belgorod	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLW
- FK Shumbrat Saransk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
31.05.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Oryol	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Shumbrat Saransk	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:5 ✺
08.05.26	Zenit Penza - Shumbrat Saransk	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL

Salyut Belgorod - Shumbrat Saransk