Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 10

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday


	Shumbrat Saransk		Oryol

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.82	4.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.77)	3.82 ↑ (3.7)	4.58 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shumbrat Saransk
56.4%

Draw
23.8%

Oryol
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24.8%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

24.3%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shumbrat Saransk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Oryol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shumbrat Saransk than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oryol than the current prediction. (+3%)

Shumbrat Saransk - Oryol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Abrasimov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 2 - 0, Lomukhin A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 9).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Oryol has had a series of home games.

In this match, Shumbrat is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	FK Shumbrat Saransk	26	13	5	8	46:35	11	44
10	Oryol	26	8	5	13	29:44	-15	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Shumbrat Saransk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
23.05.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Shumbrat Saransk	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:5 ✺
08.05.26	Zenit Penza - Shumbrat Saransk	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	Strogino Moskva - Shumbrat Saransk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLW
- FC Oryol
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
23.05.26	Oryol - Spartak Tambov	1:5 ✺
16.05.26	Oryol - Avangard Kursk	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	Oryol - Volna Kovernino	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Ryazan - Oryol	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Oryol - Rotor 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLTT

Shumbrat Saransk - Oryol: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide