Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 14

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Yunost Stadium (Smorgon)


	Smorgon		Volna Pinsk

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.55	2.19
	2.80	3.58	2.15	Watch
	2.95	3.85	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.7)	3.66 ↑ (3.5)	2.09 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smorgon
31.9%

Draw
24.7%

Volna Pinsk
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

25.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

25.4%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Volna Pinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volna Pinsk than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Azarko M. (C) 3. Autko M. 77. Bogdanovich I. 59. Devyaten A. 5. Elagin K. 25. Kovalev D. 52. Mychelkin E. 7. Nsangou J. 11. Sivkov I. 99. Starovoytov A. 27. Tishko A.	12. Letsko S. (G) 10. Grechikha M. 15. Kibuk V. (C) 55. Lesnyak D. 91. Matyash D. 97. Oreshkevich J. 17. Polkhovskiy K. 2. Prokopchuk D. 7. Radzhabov A. 21. Susha A. 8. Vlasov A.
Substitutes
22. Galko V. 10. Gorbach P. 78. Kovalevich V. 47. Kukhley R. 19. Velesyuk A. (G)	6. Belous A. 16. Kirikovich S. (G) 19. Kovalevich K. 25. Kovsh K. 77. Nikoporenok E. 9. Nizhnik D. 22. Samuylik A. 14. Stroychuk A. 11. Tkachik D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Nsangou J. ⚽, Mychelkin E. (A),
24', Elagin K. 🟨,
35', 🟨,
41', Nsangou J. 🟨,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
61', 1 - 1, Matyash D. ⚽, Kibuk V. (A),
79', 1 - 2, Nikoporenok E. ⚽, Nizhnik D. (A),
90+3', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 4.

Smorgon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Volna Pinsk is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Smorgon won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Volna Pinsk	27	10	4	13	40:50	-10	34
12	Smorgon	27	9	6	12	33:36	-3	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
27.06.26	Smorgon - Soligorsk	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	BumProm Gomel - Smorgon	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Smorgon - Minsk 2	1:0 ✺
06.06.26	Osipovichi - Smorgon	0:5 ✺
31.05.26	Smorgon - Lida	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLWWT
- Volna Pinsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
27.06.26	Volna Pinsk - BumProm Gomel	2:1 ✺
19.06.26	Minsk 2 - Volna Pinsk	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Volna Pinsk - Osipovichi	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Lida - Volna Pinsk	2:4 ✺
01.06.26	Volna Pinsk - Niva Dolbizno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
12.11.22	Smorgon - Volna Pinsk	2:0
23.07.22	Volna Pinsk - Smorgon	1:3
22.08.20	Volna Pinsk - Smorgon	2:3
25.04.20	Smorgon - Volna Pinsk	2:0
24.11.19	Smorgon - Volna Pinsk	1:2
29.09.18	Smorgon - Volna Pinsk	0:0
02.06.18	Volna Pinsk - Smorgon	2:2

Smorgon - Volna Pinsk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide