Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - Second stage - Round 5

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Raulino de Oliveira (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: da Silva Machado B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Volta Redonda		Botafogo PB

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.1	3.6
	1.91	3.1	3.95	Watch
	1.98	3.1	4.34
	1.99	3.07	4.22	Watch
	1.85	3.2	3.6
	1.92	3.35	4.08	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.99)	3.15 (3.15)	3.96 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volta Redonda
47.6%

Draw
29.2%

Botafogo PB
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

29%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

27.6%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Volta Redonda - Botafogo PB Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jean Drosny (G) 5. Bruno Barra (C) 16. Douglas Skilo 21. Henrique Silva 22. Juninho Monteiro 4. Leo Rigo 13. Lucas Souza 9. Matheus Lucas 11. MV 8. Robinho 2. Wellington Silva	1. Dalton (C) 10. Bruno Leite 32. Evandro 15. Gama 29. Jo 19. Joaozinho 2. Lenon 33. Romercio 20. Thallyson 21. Vinicius Leite 4. Wendel Lomar
Substitutes
1. Avelino (G) 15. Charles 14. Emerson Junior 17. Evanderson 29. Heliardo 18. Keliton 20. Marcos Junior 26. Muriel 10. Patric Calmon 7. Rafinha 6. Sanchez Costa 30. Vini Moura	3. Douglas 36. Elvinho 22. Erick 17. Gabriel Lima 99. Henrique Dourado 35. Lidio 5. Lucas Goncalves 18. Lucas Siqueira 6. Rafael Furlan 14. Renie 26. Sillas 37. Wallace (G)
Coaches
Rogerio Correa	Evaristo Piza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Joaozinho ⚽,
25', 🟨,
25', Joaozinho 🟨,
31', Leo Rigo ↓, Patric Calmon ↑,
35', Romercio 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, MV (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Bruno Leite 🟨,
56', Jo 🟨,
57', Bruno Santos 🟨,
63', Bruno Leite ↓, Rafael Furlan ↑,
63', Evandro ↓, Elvinho ↑,
70', Vinicius Leite ↓, Sillas ↑,
70', Gama ↓, Henrique Dourado ↑,
72', Henrique Silva ↓, Keliton ↑,
72', Douglas Skilo ↓, Evanderson ↑,
76', Joaozinho ↓, Gabriel Lima ↑,
79', Bruno Santos ↓, Muriel ↑,
79', Wellington Silva ↓, Heliardo ↑,
84', Gabriel Lima 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Keliton ⚽,
90+4', Jo 🟥,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Volta Redonda won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Botafogo PB could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Volta Redonda is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Volta Redonda won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Volta Redonda won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Copa Rio
25.09.24	Serrano FC - Volta Redonda	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
21.09.24	Volta Redonda - Remo	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Remo - Volta Redonda	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Botafogo PB - Volta Redonda	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
02.09.24	Volta Redonda - America RJ	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTTTT
- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
21.09.24	Botafogo PB - São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	São Bernardo - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Botafogo PB - Volta Redonda	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Remo - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Botafogo PB - Ferroviária	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
08.09.24	Botafogo PB - Volta Redonda	0:0
12.05.24	Volta Redonda - Botafogo PB	1:3
30.09.23	Botafogo PB - Volta Redonda	1:2
10.09.23	Volta Redonda - Botafogo PB	2:1
10.06.23	Volta Redonda - Botafogo PB	1:0
29.05.22	Volta Redonda - Botafogo PB	0:1
14.08.21	Volta Redonda - Botafogo PB	1:1

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