Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - Second stage - Round 3

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Primeiro de Maio (Sao Bernardo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	São Bernardo		Botafogo PB

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.59	3.5	5.4
	1.66	3.5	5.67
	1.64	3.57	5.73	Watch
	1.5	3.5	5.5
	1.65	3.6	5.51	Watch
	1.59	3.5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.68)	3.52 ↑ (3.45)	5.46 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
57.2%

Draw
26%

Botafogo PB
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

26.5%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

28.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

São Bernardo - Botafogo PB Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alex Alves (C) 97. Augusto 26. Davi Gabriel 3. Helder Maciel 21. Hugo Sanches 33. Kaua Jesus 99. Kayke 7. Lucas Tocantins 4. Rafael Forster 17. Romisson 23. Wesley Dias	1. Dalton (C) 10. Bruno Leite 3. Douglas 99. Henrique Dourado 29. Jo 2. Lenon 35. Lidio 23. Pedro Ivo 6. Rafael Furlan 33. Romercio 20. Thallyson
Substitutes
91. Alan Santos 6. Arthur Henrique 55. Breno 90. Felipe Garcia 2. Jeferson 9. Joao Carlos 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 14. Luiz Filipe 22. Mika 8. Rodrigo Souza 88. Silvinho 70. Walterson	11. Dudu 22. Erick 17. Gabriel Lima 15. Gama 25. Gustavo Poffo 19. Joaozinho 18. Lucas Siqueira 28. Matheus Santos 26. Sillas 21. Vinicius Leite 12. Wallace (G)
Coaches
Ricardo Catala	Evaristo Piza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Helder Maciel 🟨,
34', Rafael Furlan 🟨,
44', Henrique Dourado 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rafael Furlan ↓, Lucas Siqueira ↑,
46', Augusto ↓, Silvinho ↑,
54', Rafael Forster ↓, Alan Santos ↑,
61', Lidio ↓, Sillas ↑,
61', Henrique Dourado ↓, Vinicius Leite ↑,
67', Kaua Jesus ↓, Felipe Garcia ↑,
67', Lucas Tocantins ↓, Walterson ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Felipe Garcia ⚽,
73', Jo ↓, Joaozinho ↑,
76', Bruno Leite ↓, Dudu ↑,
81', Kayke ↓, Rodrigo Souza ↑,
89', Rodrigo Souza 🟨,

Preview

São Bernardo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Botafogo PB is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match São Bernardo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches São Bernardo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams São Bernardo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie C
09.09.24	São Bernardo - Remo	2:2 ✺
01.09.24	Volta Redonda - São Bernardo	3:1 ✺
24.08.24	São Bernardo - Floresta	2:0 ✺
18.08.24	Confiança - São Bernardo	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - São Bernardo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLWLL
- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
08.09.24	Botafogo PB - Volta Redonda	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Remo - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Botafogo PB - Ferroviária	2:0 ✺
19.08.24	Tombense - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
11.08.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo PB	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
08.07.24	São Bernardo - Botafogo PB	1:0
01.07.23	São Bernardo - Botafogo PB	0:0

Upcoming Matches