Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 11

Date: 7 July 2025, Monday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Joao Pessoa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Botafogo PB		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.3
	2.28	2.72	3.2	Watch
	2.67	2.76	3.22
				Watch
	2.25	2.7	3.4
	2.27	2.78	3.36	Watch
	2.25	2.98	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.25)	2.79 ↓ (2.99)	3.25 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
39.4%

Draw
32.6%

São Bernardo
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.2%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

30.9%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Botafogo PB - São Bernardo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Botafogo PB will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Michael (G) 22. Erick 6. Felippe Borges 17. Gabriel Honorio 5. Gama 9. Henrique Dourado (C) 8. Igor Maduro 14. Robles Fuentes A. 11. Rodrigo Alves 20. Thallyson 4. Wendel Lomar	12. Junior Oliveira (G) 32. Bastos R. 20. Emerson Santos 11. Felipe Azevedo 3. Helder Maciel (C) 13. Matheus Salustiano 95. Para 59. Pedro Felipe 4. Rafael Forster 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 17. Romisson
Substitutes
23. Balao 26. Caio Garcia 10. Camilo 16. Diego Ferreira 18. Evandro 30. Guilherme Santos 7. Joao Diogo 29. Kaue Canela 28. Lucas Balardin 25. Luis Miguel 34. Marcelo Augusto 12. Wallace (G)	1. Alex Alves (G) 6. Arthur Henrique 26. Dudu Miraima 7. Echapora 90. Felipe Garcia 21. Hugo Sanches 28. Joao Paulo 5. Kadi Silva 25. Pedro Carrerette 30. Sillas 75. Valencia J. 31. Victor Andrade

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Romisson 🟨,
41', Henrique Dourado 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Pedro Felipe 🟨,
57', 0 - 1, Erick (Own goal),
57', 1 - 1, Igor Maduro ⚽,
64', Gabriel Honorio ↓, Camilo ↑,
64', Henrique Dourado ↓, Kaue Canela ↑,
70', Bastos R. ↓, Felipe Garcia ↑,
70', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Sillas ↑,
76', Romisson ↓, Dudu Miraima ↑,
76', Pedro Felipe ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
77', Igor Maduro ↓, Luis Miguel ↑,
82', Junior Oliveira 🟨,
85', Rafael Forster ↓, Joao Paulo ↑,
85', Felippe Borges ↓, Evandro ↑,
88', Robles Fuentes A. 🟨,
90+4', Thallyson 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 9).

Recent form of Botafogo PB has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

São Bernardo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Botafogo PB may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Botafogo PB is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Botafogo PB won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Botafogo PB won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
30.06.25	Itabaiana - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Botafogo PB - Caxias	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	Figueirense - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Botafogo PB - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.05.25	Flamengo - Botafogo PB	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie C
28.06.25	São Bernardo - Anápolis	3:0 ✺
14.06.25	Ituano - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
02.06.25	São Bernardo - CS Alagoano	1:3 ✺
26.05.25	Brusque - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	São Bernardo - Caxias	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
21.09.24	Botafogo PB - São Bernardo	0:0
14.09.24	São Bernardo - Botafogo PB	1:0
08.07.24	São Bernardo - Botafogo PB	1:0
01.07.23	São Bernardo - Botafogo PB	0:0

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