Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 1

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Raulino de Oliveira (Volta Redonda)


	Volta Redonda		Paysandu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.05	3.35	Watch
	1.97	3.11	4.11
	1.93	3.25	4.09	Watch
	2.1	2.88	3.3
	2.02	3.1	3.52	Watch
	1.97	3.15	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.95)	3.09 ↓ (3.15)	3.65 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volta Redonda
45.5%

Draw
29.5%

Paysandu
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

28.4%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

29%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Volta Redonda - Paysandu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Avelino (G) 13. Alan 19. Blanco O. 5. Bruno Barra (C) 8. Dener 6. Jean Victor 3. Lucas Adell 11. MV 26. Romarinho 17. Wagninho 2. Wellington Silva	12. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 31. Bonifazi F. 8. Caio Mello 15. Castro 2. Edilson 39. Goncalves P. 98. Juninho 94. Kaua Hinkel 75. Kleiton 10. Marcinho (C) 3. Quintana Y.
Substitutes
29. Caetano 18. Caio Silva 45. Deivity (G) 20. Fellipinho 27. Juliano Fabro 25. Juninho Monteiro 30. Juninho Ramos 10. Luciano Naninho 7. Marquinhos 16. Pedro Costa 14. Rafael Castro 23. Rocha L.	23. Brian Macapa 14. Bruno Bispo 5. Henrico 1. Jean Drosny (G) 4. larley 99. Lucas Cardoso 20. Matheus Capixaba 77. Taboca L. 30. Thalyson

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', MV 🟨,
45+2', Jean Victor 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Quintana Y. 🟨,
59', Romarinho ↓, Fellipinho ↑,
62', Kaua Hinkel ↓, Thalyson ↑,
66', Bruno Barra ↓, Juliano Fabro ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Juninho ⚽,
78', Jean Victor ↓, Juninho Monteiro ↑,
78', Dener ↓, Luciano Naninho ↑,
78', MV ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
87', Bonifazi F. ↓, Lucas Cardoso ↑,
88', Juninho ↓, Taboca L. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volta Redonda won 4.

Volta Redonda is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Paysandu is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Volta Redonda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Volta Redonda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Volta Redonda won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Volta Redonda won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
28.03.26	Volta Redonda - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Cianorte - Volta Redonda	1:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
19.03.26	Volta Redonda - Barra Santa Catarina	0:1 penalties ✺
11.03.26	Volta Redonda - América RN	1:0 penalties ✺
04.03.26	Ivinhema - Volta Redonda	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWW
- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Copa Norte
24.03.26	Paysandu - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	Portuguesa - Paysandu	2:3 ✺
11.03.26	Paysandu - Portuguesa RJ	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
08.03.26	Paysandu - Remo	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Remo - Paysandu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.09.25	Paysandu - Volta Redonda	1:2
03.05.25	Volta Redonda - Paysandu	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
07.10.23	Volta Redonda - Paysandu	1:0
03.09.23	Paysandu - Volta Redonda	1:1
28.05.23	Volta Redonda - Paysandu	3:0
22.05.22	Paysandu - Volta Redonda	2:1
22.08.21	Volta Redonda - Paysandu	2:2

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