Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/32-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Raulino de Oliveira (Volta Redonda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV


	Volta Redonda		Barra Santa Catarina

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.25	3.8	Watch
	2.35	3	2.8
	1.95	3.15	3.95	Watch
	2.06	3.05	4.09
	2.30	2.84	3.40	Watch
	2	3	3.8
	2.01	3.18	3.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.36)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	3.65 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volta Redonda
44.3%

Draw
30.3%

Barra Santa Catarina
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

29.6%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Volta Redonda's performance.

Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barra Santa Catarina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Volta Redonda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barra Santa Catarina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Volta Redonda - Barra Santa Catarina Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Volta Redonda will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Avelino (G) 2. Wellington Silva 13. Alan 5. Bruno Barra (C) 6. Jean Victor 18. Luciano Naninho 8. Dener 17. Wagninho 26. Romarinho 9. Ygor Catatau 11. MV	1. Ewerton (G) 2. Fabio 4. Everton Alemao 3. Jean Pierre (C) 6. Da Rocha 11. Geovany Soares 5. Tete 8. Henrique Freitas 7. Cleo Silva 10. Gabriel Silva 9. Renan Bernabe
Substitutes
19. Blanco O. 29. Caetano 25. Caio Silva 45. Deivity (G) 20. Fellipinho 28. Joao Valenca 23. Juninho Monteiro 30. Juninho Ramos 7. Marquinhos 27. Mizael Monteiro 16. Pedro Costa 10. PK	12. Fabian Volpi (G) 14. Guilherme Lazaroni 20. Lucas Vargas 16. Matheus Barbosa 18. Nicolas 15. Pablo 19. Saymon 13. Vava 17. Warley
Coaches
Colucci Neto C.	Piccinin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Ygor Catatau 🟨,
45+2', Cleo Silva 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Henrique Freitas 🟨,
60', Henrique Freitas ↓, Matheus Barbosa ↑,
60', Romarinho ↓, Fellipinho ↑,
69', Jean Victor ↓, Juninho Monteiro ↑,
69', Luciano Naninho ↓, PK ↑,
73', Cleo Silva ↓, Saymon ↑,
73', Renan Bernabe ↓, Lucas Vargas ↑,
81', MV ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
86', Juninho Monteiro 🟨,
86', Geovany Soares ↓, Warley ↑,
86', Tete ↓, Pablo ↑,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Fellipinho (Penalty Awarded),
1, Pablo (Penalty Awarded),
2, Wagninho (Penalty Awarded),
2, Gabriel Silva (Penalty Awarded),
3, Dener (Penalty Awarded),
3, Lucas Vargas (Penalty Awarded),
4, PK (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Volta Redonda has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barra is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Volta Redonda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Volta Redonda will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Barra Santa Catarina - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.6%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volta Redonda
Copa do Brasil
11.03.26	Volta Redonda - América RN	1:0 penalties ✺
04.03.26	Ivinhema - Volta Redonda	2:4 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
27.02.26	Volta Redonda - Bangu	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Bangu - Volta Redonda	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Vasco da Gama - Volta Redonda	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWTLL
- Barra Santa Catarina
Copa do Brasil
12.03.26	Barra Santa Catarina - América Mineiro	1:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
08.03.26	Chapecoense - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Chapecoense	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Camboriú	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Camboriú - Barra Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWT

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