The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Volta Redonda 49.5%
Draw 30.6%
Chapecoense 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.1%
29.8%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
29.6%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Volta Redonda's performance.
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chapecoense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Volta Redonda that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chapecoense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Volta Redonda - Chapecoense Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Volta Redonda (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Volta Redonda (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Volta Redonda (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Avelino (G) 13. Alan 5. Bruno Barra (C) 8. Dener 6. Jean Victor 3. Lucas Adell 10. Luciano Naninho 11. MV 26. Romarinho 17. Wagninho 2. Wellington Silva
1. Anderson (G) 4. Eduardo Doma 6. Gnoatto I. 9. Joao Bom 5. Kauan F. 2. Kaue 11. Matheus Belem 7. Miguel 3. Vinicius 8. Vinicius Balieiro (C) 10. Wermeson
Substitutes
19. Blanco O. 29. Caetano 18. Caio Silva 45. Deivity (G) 20. Fellipinho 28. Joao Valenca 27. Juliano Fabro 25. Juninho Monteiro 30. Juninho Ramos 23. Kaua Uba 7. Marquinhos 16. Pedro Costa
17. Bernardo 14. Felipe 21. Ferreira T. 18. Gleidson 15. Gustavo Talles 12. Kaina (G) 16. Kauan 19. Luiz F. 20. Rodrigo
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Romarinho 🟨,
45+2', Alan 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', MV ↓, Fellipinho ↑,
46', Luciano Naninho ↓, Juliano Fabro ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Fellipinho ⚽,
62', Gnoatto I. ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
62', Matheus Belem ↓, Gleidson ↑,
62', Joao Bom ↓, Luizao ↑,
66', Bruno Barra ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
72', Miguel 🟨,
73', Eduardo Doma ↓, Gustavo Talles ↑,
85', Miguel ↓, Felipe ↑,
87', Romarinho ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
Preview
Volta Redonda is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Chapecoense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Volta Redonda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Volta Redonda is a strong favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Volta Redonda won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
Including home match between the teams, Volta Redonda won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Chapecoense - the odds 3.48 are the expected chance of winning is 26.11%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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