Match Info

Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Volta Redonda U20		Portuguesa RJ U20

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.10	2.45
	2.52	3.2	2.45
	2.32	3.06	2.82
	2.59	3.26	2.5	Watch
	2.25	3	2.75
	2.61	3.27	2.56
	2.49	3.25	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 (2.48)	3.16 ↓ (3.25)	2.57 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volta Redonda U20
36.4%

Draw
28.5%

Portuguesa RJ U20
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

27.2%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

25.1%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volta Redonda U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Portuguesa RJ U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda U20 than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa RJ U20 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Volta Redonda U20 - Portuguesa RJ U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
55', 2 - 1, ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, ⚽,
88', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 12th and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volta Redonda U20 won 2.

Volta Redonda U20 is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Portuguesa RJ U20 is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Volta Redonda U20 has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:11 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Volta Redonda U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Portuguesa RJ U20	9	1	2	6	6:14	-8	5
12	Volta Redonda U20	9	1	2	6	7:18	-11	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volta Redonda U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
26.09.26	Maricá U20 - Volta Redonda U20	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Volta Redonda U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Flamengo RJ U20 - Volta Redonda U20	6:2 ✺
05.09.26	Volta Redonda U20 - Fluminense U20	0:1 ✺
27.08.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Volta Redonda U20	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Portuguesa RJ U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
26.09.26	Portuguesa RJ U20 - Bangu U20	0:3 ✺
19.09.26	Madureira U20 - Portuguesa RJ U20	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Portuguesa RJ U20 - Boavista SC U20	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Nova Iguaçu U20 - Portuguesa RJ U20	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Portuguesa RJ U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Rio U20
18.03.26	Portuguesa RJ U20 - Volta Redonda U20	4:1
Brazilian Carioca U20
07.11.25	Volta Redonda U20 - Portuguesa RJ U20	1:0
02.11.25	Portuguesa RJ U20 - Volta Redonda U20	1:0
16.08.25	Portuguesa RJ U20 - Volta Redonda U20	1:2
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
04.05.25	Portuguesa RJ U20 - Volta Redonda U20	2:1
Brazilian Carioca U20
08.06.24	Portuguesa RJ U20 - Volta Redonda U20	2:1
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
27.03.24	Portuguesa RJ U20 - Volta Redonda U20	1:1

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