Match Info

UKRAINE: Premier League - Round 20

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Oleksiy Butovsky Vorskla Stadium (Poltava)

Referee: Omelchenko A. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	GONET.TV
Czech-republic	goNET TV
Poland	GONETV
Slovakia	goNET TV
Spain	LaLiga+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV, Watch UP
World	Onefootball


	Vorskla Poltava		Karpaty Lviv

	1	X	2
	3	2.95	2.45
	2.7	2.9	2.85
	3.15	2.92	2.56
	2.83	2.91	2.71	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.75
	2.66	2.84	2.94	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.19)	2.89 ↓ (3.13)	2.73 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vorskla Poltava
33.2%

Draw
32.4%

Karpaty Lviv
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

29.7%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vorskla Poltava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Karpaty Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karpaty Lviv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	55.6%	11.1%

Vorskla Poltava - Karpaty Lviv Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vorskla will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Karpaty will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Isenko P. (G) 27. Krupskyi I. 18. Pavlyuk Y. 29. Batsula A. 4. Perduta I. (C) 11. Kane I. 23. Malysh N. 38. Chelyadin A. 17. Salabay A. 8. Avdyli M. 10. Kulach V.	1. Kinareykin Y. (G) 77. Sych O. 4. Baboglo V. (C) 47. Jean Pedroso 28. Polegenko P. 21. Tanda P. 20. Ocheretko O. 37. Bruninho 7. Pidlepenets E. 95. Krasnopir I. 26. Kostenko Y.
Substitutes
61. Domolega O. (G) 3. Faerron F. 25. Gucek L. 77. Iyede S. 44. Khrypchuk D. 33. Myakushko S. 80. Ndukve D. 30. Nesterenko I.	5. Buleza A. 19. Chaban I. 35. Kemkin O. (G) 18. Klymenko V. 17. Kuzyk O. 14. Kvasnytsya I. 2. Kyrychok M. 10. Neves I. 33. Shakh A.
Coaches
Maksymov Y.	Lupashko V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Tanda P. 🟨,
38', Ocheretko O. ↓, Shakh A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Avdyli M. ↓, Myakushko S. ↑,
47', Shakh A. 🟨,
55', Krupskyi I. 🟨,
66', Krasnopir I. ↓, Neves I. ↑,
66', Pidlepenets E. ↓, Fedor O. ↑,
74', Chelyadin A. ↓, Khrypchuk D. ↑,
74', Kulach V. ↓, Ndukve D. ↑,
80', Kostenko Y. ↓, Chaban I. ↑,
81', Bruninho ↓, Kvasnytsya I. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vorskla won 1.

Recent matches Karpaty is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Karpaty have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Vorskla: Ostrovskyi V. (Red Card) Sklyar O. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Karpaty: Alvarez P. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Karpaty: Ocheretko O. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Vorskla won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:20 (average 1.2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Vorskla won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vorskla Poltava
Ukrainian Premier League
28.02.25	Vorskla Poltava - Dynamo Kyiv	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Obolon - Vorskla Poltava	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.02.25	Vorskla Poltava - Argeș Pitești	1:2 ✺
21.01.25	Baník Ostrava - Vorskla Poltava	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
13.12.24	Vorskla Poltava - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLLTL
- Karpaty Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
28.02.25	Karpaty Lviv - LNZ Cherkasy	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Karpaty Lviv	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.02.25	Karpaty Lviv - Zimbru Chişinău	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Karpaty Lviv - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:3 ✺
07.02.25	Karpaty Lviv - Dinamo Batumi	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
31.08.24	Karpaty Lviv - Vorskla Poltava	1:1
15.12.19	Vorskla Poltava - Karpaty Lviv	2:1
14.09.19	Karpaty Lviv - Vorskla Poltava	2:1
12.05.19	Vorskla Poltava - Karpaty Lviv	1:1
02.04.19	Karpaty Lviv - Vorskla Poltava	4:0
24.02.19	Vorskla Poltava - Karpaty Lviv	0:4
15.09.18	Karpaty Lviv - Vorskla Poltava	0:1

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