Match Info

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga - Round 12

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Gradski stadion Vrsac (Vrsac)


	Vršac		Ušće Novi Beograd

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.77	2.87
	1.57	3.87	5.54	Watch
	2.51	2.82	2.82
	2.33	3	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.45)	3.12 ↑ (3.1)	3.49 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vršac
42.6%

Draw
30.3%

Ušće Novi Beograd
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.3%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

29.4%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vršac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vršac's performance.

Ušće Novi Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ušće Novi Beograd might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vršac than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vršac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ušće Novi Beograd than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ušće Novi Beograd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vršac - Ušće Novi Beograd Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Andrijanic N. (G) 25. Atem E. 7. Grek M. 24. Janjic K. 30. Jankovic M. 8. Kikovic D. (C) 22. Klopp A. 26. Ostojic M. 11. Popov A. 32. Radojicic S. 31. Serdar L.	1. Vukmirovic B. (G) 10. Arsic Z. 5. Cvetkovic A. 3. Konstantinov L. 22. Krstovic L. 14. Maksimovic V. 20. Milosavljev V. 2. Mladenovic S. (C) 11. Todorovic T. 33. Tomovic V. 17. Vuletic A.
Substitutes
1. Dulcic D. (G) 28. Gojkov N. 17. Lainovic N. 16. Majstorovic L. 29. Mihailovic L. 9. Milivojevic M. 27. Milojevic L. 5. Nikolic S. 3. Petronijevic D. 23. Spasojevic M.	27. Bakic M. 23. Jovic M. 13. Konyaev G. 9. Mijatovic M. 8. Pavlovic L. 31. Sidibe T. 12. Terzic N. (G) 15. Vucicevic I. 6. Vukasinovic U. 16. Wypart R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Popov A. ⚽,
27', Jankovic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Jankovic M. ↓, Lainovic N. ↑,
46', Tomovic V. ↓, Sidibe T. ↑,
50', Kikovic D. 🟨,
55', Vukmirovic B. 🟨,
59', 🟨,
59', Vuletic A. 🟨,
61', Grek M. ↓, Gojkov N. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Milosavljev V. ⚽, Vuletic A. (A),
65', Todorovic T. ↓, Bakic M. ↑,
66', Popov A. 🟨,
67', Kikovic D. ↓, Petronijevic D. ↑,
67', Popov A. ↓, Spasojevic M. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Petronijevic D. ⚽, Gojkov N. (A),
79', 3 - 1, Serdar L. ⚽, Lainovic N. (A),
79', Arsic Z. ↓, Jovic M. ↑,
79', Vuletic A. ↓, Wypart R. ↑,
84', 4 - 1, Lainovic N. ⚽, Serdar L. (A),
87', Serdar L. ↓, Milojevic L. ↑,

Last Results with these Odds

Vršac - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.07%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Vršac
Serbian Prva Liga
28.09.25	Zemun - Vršac	2:2 ✺
24.09.25	Vršac - Trayal Kruševac	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Borac Čačak - Vršac	2:2 ✺
12.09.25	Vršac - Dubočica	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Jedinstvo Ub - Vršac	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTTLT
- Ušće Novi Beograd
Serbian Prva Liga
29.09.25	Trayal Kruševac - Ušće Novi Beograd	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Ušće Novi Beograd - Dubočica	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Loznica - Ušće Novi Beograd	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Ušće Novi Beograd - FAP Priboj	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Dinamo Jug - Ušće Novi Beograd	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLWL

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