Match Info

Prva NL - Round 6

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Gradski vrt (Osijek)


	Vukovar 91		Jadran Luka Ploče

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3
	2	3.2	3.2
	1.92	3.20	3.50
	1.99	3.48	3.32
	1.95	3.35	3.57	Watch
	1.90	3.40	3.20
	1.88	3.34	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.77)	3.3 ↓ (3.33)	3.34 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vukovar 91
45.7%

Draw
27.3%

Jadran Luka Ploče
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

27.1%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

26.3%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vukovar 91 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vukovar 91's form might have worsened.

Jadran Luka Ploče has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vukovar 91, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jadran Luka Ploče than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jadran Luka Ploče, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vukovar 91 - Jadran Luka Ploče Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hrvojevic A. (G) 11. Barnes S. 2. Brodersen L. 10. Gonzalez R. (C) 18. Pajvancic N. 4. Pavlek D. 9. Petkovic F. 6. Stranput D. 8. Ugosinho 5. Vrbanac K. 15. Zlatunic N.	1. Kesina I. (G) 19. Herceg T. 6. Karacic D. 10. Maric M. 9. Maric N. (C) 11. Matanovic L. 2. Miletic L. 16. Milicevic I. 77. Petrovic L. 8. Radonic A. 23. Zrnic P.
Substitutes
27. Baric L. 7. Bugas P. 12. Damjanovic D. (G) 20. Dias Semedo S. 22. Grubisic N. 30. Jergovic D. 17. Jerkovic P. 21. Pineda G. 23. Vinkovic D.	17. Antunovic K. 80. Bartulic J. (G) 27. Garic N. 7. Peric A. 20. Rodin N. 5. Silic R. 74. Spahic E. 4. Taslak K. 47. Zilic R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Karacic D. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Radonic A. ⚽,
25', 1 - 2, Petkovic F. ⚽,
28', 🟨,
35', 2 - 2, Petkovic F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 🟨,
54', 🟨,
66', 🟨,
70', 🟨,
86', 2 - 3, Maric N. ⚽,
89', 🟨,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 8th and 7th).

Vukovar 91 is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Jadran Luka Ploče have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Vukovar 91 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Vukovar 91 has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

In this matchup, Vukovar 91 is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Jadran LP	8	4	3	1	13:8	5	15
14	Vukovar 1991	7	2	2	3	11:14	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Vukovar 91
Croatian Prva NL
13.09.26	Croatia Zmijavci - Vukovar 91	2:3 ✺
Croatian Cup
09.09.26	Vukovar 91 - Cibalia	1:0 ✺
Croatian Prva NL
05.09.26	Vukovar 91 - Cibalia	1:1 ✺
02.09.26	Vukovar 91 - Dinamo II Zagreb	2:6 ✺
28.08.26	Vukovar 91 - Segesta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWTLW
- Jadran Luka Ploče
Croatian Prva NL
12.09.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Orijent	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Bijelo Brdo - Jadran Luka Ploče	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Dubrava	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Hrvace - Jadran Luka Ploče	1:4 ✺
22.08.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Opatija	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLTWT

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