Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 14

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday


	Vänersborgs IF		Stenungsunds

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.75	1.80
	3.30	3.85	1.74
	3.30	4.19	1.86
	3.44	3.73	1.89	Watch
	3.25	3.85	1.78
	3.46	3.90	1.80
	3.19	3.64	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.75)	3.84 ↑ (3.4)	1.83 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vänersborgs IF
27.2%

Draw
23.5%

Stenungsunds
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

25.9%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

25%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vänersborgs IF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Stenungsunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stenungsunds's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vänersborgs IF than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stenungsunds than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stenungsunds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vänersborgs IF - Stenungsunds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 0, Ransjo Falkstrand F. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vänersborgs IF won 2.

Vänersborgs IF has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Stenungsund's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stenungsund will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vänersborgs IF won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Vänersborgs IF won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Stenungsunds	24	9	6	9	42:33	9	33
14	Vanersborgs IF ✔	24	2	3	19	24:69	-45	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vänersborgs IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
18.06.26	Grebbestad - Vänersborgs IF	4:3 ✺
15.06.26	Vänersborgs IF - Herrestads	2:2 ✺
04.06.26	Stenungsunds - Vänersborgs IF	5:0 ✺
31.05.26	Motala - Vänersborgs IF	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Vänersborgs IF - Husqvarna	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLLL
- Stenungsunds IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
18.06.26	Vänersborgs FK - Stenungsunds	2:4 ✺
12.06.26	Stenungsunds - Ahlafors	0:4 ✺
04.06.26	Stenungsunds - Vänersborgs IF	5:0 ✺
31.05.26	Husqvarna - Stenungsunds	3:1 ✺
23.05.26	Stenungsunds - Lidkoping	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
04.06.26	Stenungsunds - Vänersborgs IF	5:0
29.06.24	Vänersborgs IF - Stenungsunds	1:1
06.04.24	Stenungsunds - Vänersborgs IF	1:0
12.09.20	Stenungsunds - Vänersborgs IF	1:5
07.09.19	Vänersborgs IF - Stenungsunds	1:0
24.05.19	Stenungsunds - Vänersborgs IF	1:0
11.08.18	Vänersborgs IF - Stenungsunds	0:3

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