Match Info

Date: 7 October 2020, Wednesday


	Värnamo		Linköping City

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	5.5
	1.57	3.9	4.6
	1.48	4.2	5
	1.51	4.47	5.48
	1.5	4.2	5.5
	1.51	4.33	5.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.31)	4.24 ↓ (5)	5.21 ↓ (6.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Värnamo
60.7%

Draw
21.7%

Linköping City
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

18%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

80.8%

15.4%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Värnamo's form might have worsened.

Linköping City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+20.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Värnamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linköping City than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Linköping City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Värnamo - Linköping City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Superettan and 7).

Värnamo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Linköping City is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Värnamo is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Värnamo to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Värnamo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Division 1 Södra
03.10.20	Eskilsminne - Värnamo	0:1 ✺
27.09.20	Värnamo - Trollhättan	2:0 ✺
23.09.20	Motala - Värnamo	5:3 ✺
19.09.20	Värnamo - Skövde AIK	3:1 ✺
12.09.20	Tvååker - Värnamo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWW
- Linköping City
Swedish Division 1 Södra
03.10.20	Linköping City - Lindome	2:1 ✺
27.09.20	Skövde AIK - Linköping City	4:3 ✺
23.09.20	Linköping City - Oskarshamn	2:1 ✺
19.09.20	Torn - Linköping City	3:0 ✺
12.09.20	Linköping City - Eskilsminne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
17.08.20	Linköping City - Värnamo	0:4

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