Match Info

Date: 27 September 2020, Sunday


	Värnamo		Trollhättan

	1	X	2
	1.28	5	7.5	Watch
	1.36	4.75	6
	1.28	5.1	8.4
	1.32	4.9	6.8
	1.32	5.21	8.51
	1.32	4.6	8.5
	1.31	5.2	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.39)	4.97 ↑ (4.6)	7.62 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Värnamo
69.6%

Draw
18.4%

Trollhättan
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

19.6%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.7%

16.6%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Trollhättan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Värnamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trollhättan than the current prediction. (+1%)

Värnamo - Trollhättan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Superettan and 9).

Värnamo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Trollhättan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Värnamo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Värnamo is certain favorite.

In this match Värnamo is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Värnamo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Värnamo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Division 1 Södra
23.09.20	Motala - Värnamo	5:3 ✺
19.09.20	Värnamo - Skövde AIK	3:1 ✺
12.09.20	Tvååker - Värnamo	0:2 ✺
06.09.20	Värnamo - Karlskrona	4:1 ✺
02.09.20	Karlskrona - Värnamo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWW
- IFK Trollhättan
Swedish Division 1 Södra
23.09.20	Trollhättan - Utsikten	1:2 ✺
19.09.20	Motala - Trollhättan	1:3 ✺
13.09.20	Trollhättan - Lindome	0:1 ✺
06.09.20	Landskrona - Trollhättan	1:0 ✺
02.09.20	Trollhättan - Motala	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
17.06.20	Trollhättan - Värnamo	0:1
11.08.19	Värnamo - Trollhättan	5:1
05.05.19	Trollhättan - Värnamo	3:0

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