Match Info

Superettan - Round 14

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Landskrona Idrottsplats (Landskrona)

Referee: Nehdi F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Landskrona		Värnamo

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.75	Watch
	1.87	3.50	3.60
	1.92	3.6	3.65
	1.94	3.75	3.87
	1.89	3.56	3.84	Watch
	1.86	3.65	3.75
	1.91	3.58	3.7	Watch
	1.89	3.45	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.11)	3.57 ↑ (3.5)	3.71 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Landskrona
49.1%

Draw
25.9%

Värnamo
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

26.4%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.3%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Landskrona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Landskrona's performance.

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Landskrona than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Landskrona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Landskrona - Värnamo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Landskrona (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Landskrona will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaddoura A. (C) 4. Bruzelius G. 26. Murbeck A. 6. Karlsson T. 3. Weststrom G. 5. Egnell A. 13. Sakurai K. 18. Perez A. 11. Bjorkqvist M. 9. Sylisufaj E. 21. Jensen K.	1. Keto H. (G) 2. Rapp J. 6. Andersson H. 5. Bergqvist D. 4. Ohlsson S. 7. Johansson C. 16. Kujundzic A. 23. Robertsson L. 11. Shamoun N. 14. Antonsson M. (C) 9. Meriluoto K.
Substitutes
17. Elezaj G. 36. Hebibovic E. 28. Milosevic M. 15. Mohamed M. 12. Moungam E. 20. Odhiambo X. 7. Ojala S. 30. Pettersson M. (G) 8. Smajic A.	21. Abdulrazak I. 3. Bjornstrom A. 17. Bozicevic F. 15. Coulibaly S. 28. Diallo M. C. 19. Freij E. 13. Jansson S. 39. Sapielak B. (G) 34. Zulovic B.
Coaches
Asterhed R.	Tufegdzic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Karlsson T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Weststrom G. 🟨,
62', Bergqvist D. 🟨,
64', 1 - 0, Sylisufaj E. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Bjorkqvist M. ↓, Mohamed M. ↑,
74', Shamoun N. ↓, Abdulrazak I. ↑,
74', Robertsson L. ↓, Bozicevic F. ↑,
81', Kujundzic A. ↓, Bjornstrom A. ↑,
81', Meriluoto K. ↓, Zulovic B. ↑,
81', Ohlsson S. ↓, Jansson S. ↑,
85', Sylisufaj E. ↓, Hebibovic E. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Landskrona won 0.

Landskrona is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Värnamo has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Landskrona is a strong favorite.

We predict that Landskrona will win today's game, with odds of 1.85.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Landskrona won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Landskrona won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).

Outrights of Swedish Superettan for now

Landskrona: 0.1%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Landskrona	25	11	7	7	39:26	13	40
11	Varnamo	25	8	5	12	33:45	-12	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Landskrona BoIS
Swedish Superettan
22.06.26	Varbergs BoIS - Landskrona	2:3 ✺
16.06.26	Landskrona - United Nordic	2:0 ✺
11.06.26	Helsingborg - Landskrona	0:3 ✺
30.05.26	Landskrona - Brage	2:2 ✺
24.05.26	Sandviken - Landskrona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WWWTW
- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Superettan
21.06.26	Brage - Värnamo	5:1 ✺
16.06.26	Värnamo - Helsingborg	0:1 ✺
09.06.26	Öster - Värnamo	3:0 ✺
31.05.26	Värnamo - United Nordic	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Falkenberg - Värnamo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.02.26	Värnamo - Landskrona	4:2
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.11.24	Värnamo - Landskrona	1:0
21.11.24	Landskrona - Värnamo	2:2
Club Friendly
28.01.23	Värnamo - Landskrona	2:1
Swedish Superettan
21.08.21	Värnamo - Landskrona	2:0
10.04.21	Landskrona - Värnamo	2:0
Swedish Division 1 Södra
15.11.20	Värnamo - Landskrona	0:0

Upcoming Matches