Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Götaland - Round 24

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Växjö Norra		Karlshamn

	1	X	2
	1.32	5.00	6.50
	1.29	5.15	7.2
	1.27	5.35	7.25
	1.31	5.2	7.6	Watch
	1.24	5.25	7.15
	1.4	4.77	6.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.55)	5.12 ↑ (3.8)	7.01 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Växjö Norra
69.4%

Draw
17.7%

Karlshamn
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

23.1%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

21.3%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Växjö Norra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Växjö Norra's performance.

Karlshamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karlshamn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Växjö Norra than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Växjö Norra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlshamn than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karlshamn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Växjö Norra - Karlshamn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 7th and 14th in the Relegation).

Karlshamn is Relegated to.

Växjö Norra has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Karlshamn is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Karlshamn may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Växjö Norra carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Växjö Norra has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 1.3:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Växjö Norra against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Vaxjo Norra	24	9	8	7	31:33	-2	35
14	IFK Karlshamn ✔	24	4	2	18	26:60	-34	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Växjö Norra IF
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
25.09.26	Räppe GoIF - Växjö Norra	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Växjö Norra - Nosaby	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Växjö Norra - Lilla Torg	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Torn - Växjö Norra	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Växjö Norra - Österlen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTTWW
- IFK Karlshamn
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
26.09.26	Karlshamn - Karlskrona	1:4 ✺
19.09.26	Berga - Karlshamn	4:1 ✺
13.09.26	Karlshamn - Torn	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Österlen - Karlshamn	6:0 ✺
29.08.26	Karlshamn - Nosaby	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
22.05.26	Karlshamn - Växjö Norra	1:2
15.08.25	Karlshamn - Växjö Norra	0:0
04.04.25	Växjö Norra - Karlshamn	2:0

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