Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 2 - GROUP 1 - ROUND 12

Date: 2 July 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Vålerenga 2		Ørn-Horten

	1	X	2
	1.97	3.92	3.03
	2.05	3.7	2.7
	1.9	4.1	3.18
	2.03	3.8	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (4.31)	3.88 ↓ (4.31)	2.95 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vålerenga 2
45.8%

Draw
23.4%

Ørn-Horten
30.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.3%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

20.7%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vålerenga 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vålerenga 2's performance.

Ørn-Horten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ørn-Horten might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga 2 than the current prediction. (-23.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vålerenga 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ørn-Horten than the current prediction. (+25.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ørn-Horten could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	6.7%	20%

Vålerenga 2 - Ørn Horten Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Vålerenga 2 will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Ørn-Horten will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vålerenga 2: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Storevik J. (C) 31. Bjurstrom M. H. 4. Borchgrevink C. 7. Borven T. 2. Brunskog V. 18. Drammeh O. 29. El Abdellaoui J. 17. Eng J. 27. Kjelsen A. 33. Thorstensen S. 26. Vitinho	1. Solberg K. (G) 25. Bamenye Bizoza F. 16. Falchener H. 22. Forsund A. (C) 11. Helling G. 10. Kadriu A. 8. Knutsen T. 2. Nilsen S. 5. Pop S. 9. Rogulj A. 3. Sjol J.
Substitutes
10. Apold-Aasen L. 3. Opeyemi M. 8. Osnes-Ringen W. 9. Ronning A. 6. Rorstad S. 25. Saheim C. 11. Shahid M. 13. Staer-Jensen M. (G) 24. Usman T.	19. Hamde D. 14. Krawiec A. 28. Muratovic A. 12. Reiersen J. (G) 15. Reza Mohammadi M. 27. Skulstad-Hansen E. 6. Tornby F. 23. Wivestad S.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 7).

Vålerenga 2 has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ørn-Horten is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ørn-Horten could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ørn-Horten will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vålerenga 2 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Vålerenga 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vålerenga 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
26.06.23	Lyn - Vålerenga 2	4:0 ✺
18.06.23	Vålerenga 2 - Fram Larvik	1:5 ✺
12.06.23	Kjelsås - Vålerenga 2	2:1 ✺
30.05.23	Vålerenga 2 - Aalesunds 2	1:1 ✺
14.05.23	Notodden - Vålerenga 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Ørn-Horten
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
24.06.23	Ørn-Horten - Flekkerøy	3:1 ✺
18.06.23	Træff - Ørn-Horten	1:2 ✺
04.06.23	Arendal - Ørn-Horten	3:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Ørn-Horten - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
29.05.23	Lyn - Ørn-Horten	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
19.10.19	Vålerenga 2 - Ørn-Horten	1:1
07.05.19	Ørn-Horten - Vålerenga 2	2:3

Vålerenga 2 - Ørn-Horten