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Current Win Probability
Vélez Sársfield 59.3%
Draw 25.8%
Godoy Cruz 15%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
28.7%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
28.3%
22.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Sársfield's performance.
Godoy Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Godoy Cruz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Godoy Cruz than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Godoy Cruz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
73.7%
15.8%
10.5%
Vélez Sársfield - Godoy Cruz Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Godoy Cruz will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 58.6% – 97%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marchiori T. (G) 21. Gordon J. 2. Mammana E. 6. Quiros A. 3. Gomez E. 32. Ordonez C. 26. Bouzat A. (C) 20. Pizzini F. 33. Vazquez K. A. 8. Galvan T. 9. Braian Romero
1. Petroli F. (G) 29. Jara L. 26. Mendoza M. 23. Rasmussen F. 21. Meli A. 41. Altamira F. 5. Leyes B. 13. Fernandez N. 24. Yanez B. 77. Dupuy L. 20. Parzajuk K.
Substitutes
5. Baeza C. 37. Cavanagh T. 34. Fernandez D. 18. Fernandez M. 10. Montoro A. 36. Montoro F. 11. Pellegrini M. 23. Pernicone P. 46. Porcel M. 12. Rodriguez R. (G) 19. Roldan L. 7. Santos M.
32. Abrego G. 4. Arce L. 31. Auzmendi A. 11. Barrea D. 7. Cejas J. 3. Moran J. 35. Pascual L. 50. Perez J. 25. Poggi V. 10. Pozzo T. A. 12. Ramirez R. (G) 2. Rossi T.
Coaches
Dominguez S.
Pedernera E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Pizzini F. (Own goal),
28', 0 - 2, Altamira F. ⚽,
44', Jara L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bouzat A. ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
47', Altamira F. 🟨,
53', Vazquez K. A. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
55', Altamira F. ↓, Arce L. ↑,
59', Pizzini F. ↓, Santos M. ↑,
64', Yanez B. ↓, Abrego G. ↑,
64', Fernandez N. ↓, Poggi V. ↑,
73', Dupuy L. ↓, Auzmendi A. ↑,
73', Parzajuk K. ↓, Barrea D. ↑,
83', Gordon J. ↓, Porcel M. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Vélez won 1.
Vélez has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Godoy Cruz is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Godoy Cruz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Vélez is a favorite.
There will not play in Vélez: Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Lagos A.
(Injury)
Machuca I.
(Muscle Injury)
Mammana E.
(Injury)
Monzon F.
(Injury)
There will not play in Godoy Cruz: Ardiles F.
(Injury)
Gonzalez M.
(Injury)
Ulariaga S.
(Knee Injury)
Last 19 head-to-head matches Vélez won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23:27 (average 1.2:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:16 (average 1.4:1.6).
Argentina
Brazil
Usa
World
Watch
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Marchiori T. (G) 
Fernandez N. 
Yanez B. 
Dupuy L. 
Parzajuk K. 
Perez J. 
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