Match Info

Date: 3 December 2021, Friday


	Vélez Sársfield		Patronato Parana

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	6	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.8
	1.63	3.75	4.9
	1.63	3.3	5.4
	1.69	3.72	5.65
	1.69	3.66	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.6)	3.59 ↓ (3.97)	5.36 ↓ (5.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield
56.3%

Draw
26.2%

Patronato Parana
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

23.8%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

14.4%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-20.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Patronato Parana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vélez Sársfield - Patronato Parana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Vélez has the most likely position - 4 (27.61%), has project points - 41, has currently - 38, has not chance of win league.

Patronato has the most likely position - 24 (28.33%), has project points - 25, has currently - 23, has not chance of win league.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Vélez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vélez is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Vélez won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.11.21	Estudiantes La Plata - Vélez Sársfield	1:0 ✺
23.11.21	Vélez Sársfield - Argentinos Juniors	2:0 ✺
19.11.21	Talleres de Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
07.11.21	Vélez Sársfield - San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
30.10.21	Banfield - Vélez Sársfield	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTWL
- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.11.21	Patronato Parana - Godoy Cruz	0:3 ✺
23.11.21	Huracán Buenos Aires - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
18.11.21	Patronato Parana - Lanús	3:2 ✺
07.11.21	River Plate - Patronato Parana	5:0 ✺
01.11.21	Patronato Parana - Colón	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.04.21	Vélez Sársfield - Patronato Parana	1:0
05.12.20	Patronato Parana - Vélez Sársfield	0:0
16.11.20	Vélez Sársfield - Patronato Parana	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.12.19	Patronato Parana - Vélez Sársfield	0:1
10.12.18	Patronato Parana - Vélez Sársfield	3:3
10.02.18	Vélez Sársfield - Patronato Parana	0:2
04.12.16	Patronato Parana - Vélez Sársfield	0:0

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