Match Info

ARGENTINA: Liga Profesional - Round 10

Date: 11 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Florencio Sola (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Sportitalia
Turkey	D Smart GO, Spor Smart 1
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
Usa	FuboTV
World	Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Banfield		Vélez Sársfield

	1	X	2
	3.7	3	2.2	Watch
	3.75	3	2.1
	3.9	3	2.1	Watch
	3.3	2.89	2.54
	3.98	2.99	2.16
	3.93	3.04	2.14	Watch
	3.9	3	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (2.9)	2.99 ↓ (3)	2.19 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Banfield
25.1%

Draw
31.7%

Vélez Sársfield
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

31.3%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

31.6%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Banfield's form might have worsened.

Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vélez Sársfield's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banfield than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Banfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	23.5%	47.1%

Banfield - Vélez Sársfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Banfield will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Vélez will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanguinetti F. (G) 6. Enrique G. 4. Maciel A. R. 3. Hernandez N. 19. Bonifacio E. 32. Rodriguez Y. 8. Soraire J. 22. Alvarez J. 10. Gonzalez M. 11. Rodriguez I. 9. Sepulveda B.	1. Marchiori T. (G) 4. Garcia J. 2. Mammana E. 31. Gomez V. 3. Gomez E. 32. Ordonez C. 26. Bouzat A. (C) 20. Pizzini F. 22. Aquino C. 27. Fernandez T. 9. Braian Romero
Substitutes
47. Aranda G. 17. Bisanz J. 24. Canete E. 15. De Ritis M. 26. Devecchi J. (G) 39. Echeverria M. 14. Galvan B. A. 27. Gomez L. 29. Iribarren J. 25. Recalde L. 18. Roldan M. 38. Villegas L.	47. Bosch B. 28. Carrizo M. 35. Caseres S. 37. Cavanagh T. 42. Garzon L. (G) 24. Guidara T. 36. Montoro A. 11. Pellegrini M. 23. Pernicone P. 6. Quiros A. 19. Roldan L. 7. Santos M.
Coaches
Munua G.	Quinteros G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Pizzini F. ⚽, Braian Romero (A),
25', Maciel A. R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', Rodriguez I. (Pen),
57', 0 - 2, Aquino C. ⚽, Fernandez T. (A),
62', 1 - 2, Sepulveda B. ⚽, Alvarez J. (A),
64', Enrique G. ↓, De Ritis M. ↑,
64', Rodriguez I. ↓, Canete E. ↑,
64', Soraire J. ↓, Bisanz J. ↑,
68', Fernandez T. ↓, Santos M. ↑,
72', Pizzini F. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
72', Mammana E. ↓, Pernicone P. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Sepulveda B. ⚽, Alvarez J. (A),
86', Gonzalez M. ↓, Roldan M. ↑,
90+2', Hernandez N. ↓, Aranda G. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Banfield won 2.

Recent matches Banfield is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vélez is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Vélez will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Banfield: Cabrera A. (Injury) Maldonado A. (Injury) Palavecino L. (Injury) Perez M. (Injury)

There will not play in Vélez: Gordillo Y. (Injury) Lagos A. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Banfield won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Banfield won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Banfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.08.24	Platense - Banfield	0:1 ✺
31.07.24	Boca Juniors - Banfield	3:0 ✺
28.07.24	Banfield - Talleres de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Banfield - Atlético Tucumán	1:1 ✺
12.06.24	Independiente - Banfield	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLTTL
- Vélez Sársfield
Copa Argentina
06.08.24	San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield	1:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.08.24	Vélez Sársfield - Defensa y Justicia	3:0 ✺
29.07.24	Central Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield	0:2 ✺
25.07.24	Platense - Vélez Sársfield	0:2 ✺
21.07.24	Vélez Sársfield - Talleres de Córdoba	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
11.03.24	Banfield - Vélez Sársfield	1:2
23.10.23	Vélez Sársfield - Banfield	0:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.04.23	Vélez Sársfield - Banfield	3:3
04.10.22	Vélez Sársfield - Banfield	1:0
30.10.21	Banfield - Vélez Sársfield	2:1
Argentinian Copa Diego Maradona
31.03.21	Vélez Sársfield - Banfield	2:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.11.19	Banfield - Vélez Sársfield	1:0

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