Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4, LPF Play
Peru	Disney+
South-america	ESPN 4 South
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Rosario Central 2		Independiente 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.3	4.1
	1.77	3.4	4.1	Watch
	1.79	3.46	4.43
	1.75	3.47	4.37	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.33
	1.79	3.53	4.36	Watch
	1.77	3.4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.57)	3.41 ↓ (3.55)	4.26 ↓ (5.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rosario Central 2
51.8%

Draw
26.8%

Independiente 2
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

25.9%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

24.7%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosario Central 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rosario Central 2's form might have worsened.

Independiente 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central 2 than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rosario Central 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rosario Central 2 - Independiente 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).

Rosario Central 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Independiente 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rosario Central 2 is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rosario Central 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rosario Central 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosario Central 2
Argentinian Reserve League
20.05.25	San Lorenzo 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:0 ✺
13.05.25	Rosario Central 2 - Instituto 2	1:1 ✺
06.05.25	Platense 2 - Rosario Central 2	0:1 ✺
29.04.25	Rosario Central 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:2 ✺
22.04.25	River Plate 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWTW
- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
21.05.25	Independiente 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	2:1 ✺
14.05.25	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Independiente 2	0:0 ✺
07.05.25	Independiente 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Lanús 2 - Independiente 2	2:2 ✺
23.04.25	Independiente 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
08.09.23	Independiente 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:0
10.04.23	Independiente 2 - Rosario Central 2	0:3
14.07.22	Rosario Central 2 - Independiente 2	5:1
25.04.22	Rosario Central 2 - Independiente 2	1:2

Upcoming Matches