Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA BAYERN NORD - ROUND 12

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday


	Würzburger FV		ATSV Erlangen

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.2
	2.05	3.59	3.27
	2.01	3.72	3.13
	1.95	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.25)	3.63 ↓ (3.75)	3.2 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Würzburger FV
46.1%

Draw
25.3%

ATSV Erlangen
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

24%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

24.5%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Würzburger FV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Würzburger FV's performance.

ATSV Erlangen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ATSV Erlangen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Würzburger FV than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Würzburger FV that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ATSV Erlangen than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ATSV Erlangen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

#ad

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation and 15 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Würzburger FV won 4.

Würzburger FV has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

ATSV Erlangen is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

ATSV Erlangen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Würzburger FV won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Würzburger FV won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Würzburger FV
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
09.09.23	Hankofen-Hailing - Würzburger FV	2:1 ✺
06.09.23	Würzburger FV - Jahn Regensburg II	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Gebenbach - Würzburger FV	3:2 ✺
25.08.23	Würzburger FV - Eichstätt	0:2 ✺
19.08.23	Würzburger FV - Kornburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLT
- ATSV Erlangen
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
08.09.23	ATSV Erlangen - Abtswind	0:0 ✺
05.09.23	Hankofen-Hailing - ATSV Erlangen	3:0 ✺
01.09.23	ATSV Erlangen - Coburg	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Jahn Regensburg II - ATSV Erlangen	1:3 ✺
22.08.23	ATSV Erlangen - Fortuna Regensburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
12.11.22	Würzburger FV - ATSV Erlangen	0:3
20.07.22	ATSV Erlangen - Würzburger FV	2:3
21.05.22	Würzburger FV - ATSV Erlangen	5:1
22.10.21	ATSV Erlangen - Würzburger FV	0:1
10.11.18	Würzburger FV - ATSV Erlangen	2:1
21.07.18	ATSV Erlangen - Würzburger FV	3:3

Upcoming Matches