Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 18

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Flyeralarm Arena (Wurzburger)


	Würzburger Kickers		Illertissen

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.45	3.05
	2.16	3.55	3.37
	1.63	3.87	4.64	Watch
	2.02	3.44	3.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.63)	3.58 ↓ (3.87)	3.56 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Würzburger Kickers
47.5%

Draw
26.2%

Illertissen
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

23.8%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

22.7%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Würzburger Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Würzburger Kickers's form might have worsened.

Illertissen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illertissen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Würzburger Kickers than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Würzburger Kickers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Illertissen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Würzburger Kickers - Illertissen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Bonga T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 1 - 1, Cocic M. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Würzburger Kickers won 4.

Würzburger Kickers is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Illertissen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Illertissen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Würzburger Kickers is the team to beat.

We predict that Würzburger Kickers will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Würzburger Kickers won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:8. (average 2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Würzburger Kickers won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Würzburger Kickers
German Regionalliga Bayern
08.11.25	Würzburger Kickers - Ansbach	4:1 ✺
31.10.25	Unterhaching - Würzburger Kickers	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Wacker Burghausen - Würzburger Kickers	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Würzburger Kickers - Greuther Fürth II	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Bayreuth - Würzburger Kickers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWTWT
- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
08.11.25	Schwaben Augsburg - Illertissen	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Illertissen - Hankofen-Hailing	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Illertissen - Magdeburg	0:3 ✺
German Regionalliga Bayern
25.10.25	Bayern Munich II - Illertissen	3:4 ✺
18.10.25	Illertissen - Eichstätt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
25.07.25	Illertissen - Würzburger Kickers	0:3
17.05.25	Illertissen - Würzburger Kickers	0:1
26.10.24	Würzburger Kickers - Illertissen	0:3
17.11.23	Würzburger Kickers - Illertissen	2:0
09.08.23	Illertissen - Würzburger Kickers	2:3
10.04.23	Würzburger Kickers - Illertissen	1:1
16.09.22	Illertissen - Würzburger Kickers	0:6

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