Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 17

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Schwaben Augsburg		Illertissen

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.75	2.08
	3.37	3.9	2.11
	4.23	3.80	1.69	Watch
	3.11	3.68	1.97
	4.5	3.8	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↓ (4.42)	3.79 ↑ (3.75)	1.91 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schwaben Augsburg
25.9%

Draw
24.8%

Illertissen
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

24.2%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

23.3%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schwaben Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Schwaben Augsburg's performance.

Illertissen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Illertissen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schwaben Augsburg than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Schwaben Augsburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Illertissen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Schwaben Augsburg - Illertissen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 1 - 0, Krug B. (Pen),
57', 1 - 1, Ruhle T. ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, Gerstmayer D. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 2, Luburic M. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Schwaben Augsburg is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Illertissen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Schwaben Augsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Illertissen has had a series of home games.

In this match, Illertissen is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Schwaben Augsburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Schwaben Augsburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Schwaben Augsburg
German Regionalliga Bayern
01.11.25	Aubstadt - Schwaben Augsburg	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Schwaben Augsburg - Vilzing	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Ansbach - Schwaben Augsburg	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Schwaben Augsburg - Augsburg II	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Wacker Burghausen - Schwaben Augsburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLWLL
- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
02.11.25	Illertissen - Hankofen-Hailing	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Illertissen - Magdeburg	0:3 ✺
German Regionalliga Bayern
25.10.25	Bayern Munich II - Illertissen	3:4 ✺
18.10.25	Illertissen - Eichstätt	1:1 ✺
14.10.25	Illertissen - Ansbach	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
04.04.25	Illertissen - Schwaben Augsburg	1:1
27.09.24	Schwaben Augsburg - Illertissen	0:1

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