Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 15

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	FC Bayern TV


	Bayern Munich II		Illertissen

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.85	2.62
	1.88	4.04	3.19	Watch
	2.18	3.88	2.55
	2.25	4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.88)	3.94 ↓ (4.04)	2.74 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich II
43.1%

Draw
23.3%

Illertissen
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

22.6%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

22.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayern Munich II's form might have worsened.

Illertissen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich II than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayern Munich II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Bayern Munich II - Illertissen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
34', 1 - 0, Deziel R. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Glessing Y. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Zok M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
57', 2 - 2, Cocic M. ⚽,
65', Zeller M. 🟥,
75', 2 - 3, Heinz A. (Own goal),
77', 2 - 4, Glessing Y. ⚽,
86', 3 - 4, Heinz A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern II won 2.

Bayern II is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Illertissen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bayern II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bayern II has had a series of away games.

Bayern II will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayern II won 9 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayern II won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern Munich II
German Regionalliga Bayern
18.10.25	Aubstadt - Bayern Munich II	1:3 ✺
03.10.25	Ansbach - Bayern Munich II	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Bayern Munich II - Würzburger Kickers	1:3 ✺
23.09.25	Vilzing - Bayern Munich II	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Hankofen-Hailing - Bayern Munich II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTLLL
- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
18.10.25	Illertissen - Eichstätt	1:1 ✺
14.10.25	Illertissen - Ansbach	4:1 ✺
11.10.25	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Illertissen	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Illertissen - Buchbach	4:1 ✺
27.09.25	Nürnberg II - Illertissen	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
03.05.25	Illertissen - Bayern Munich II	2:2
18.10.24	Bayern Munich II - Illertissen	3:2
05.04.24	Illertissen - Bayern Munich II	1:1
22.09.23	Bayern Munich II - Illertissen	3:2
18.03.23	Illertissen - Bayern Munich II	0:0
26.08.22	Bayern Munich II - Illertissen	2:2
03.12.21	Bayern Munich II - Illertissen	2:0

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