Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 6

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: Wacker Arena (Burghausen)


	Wacker Burghausen		Illertissen

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.5	2.88
	2.13	3.88	3.26
	2.17	3.52	2.82
	2.16	3.66	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.13)	3.64 ↑ (3.5)	2.97 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wacker Burghausen
43.1%

Draw
25.6%

Illertissen
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

25.2%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wacker Burghausen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Illertissen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wacker Burghausen than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (-1%)

Wacker Burghausen - Illertissen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Bachschmid F. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Gordok A. ⚽,
36', 3 - 0, Ilic F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 3 - 1, Ruhle T. ⚽,
54', 4 - 1, Simic N. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burghausen won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Illertissen has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Burghausen won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Burghausen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.8:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wacker Burghausen
German Regionalliga Bayern
23.08.25	Eichstätt - Wacker Burghausen	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Wacker Burghausen - Vilzing	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Nürnberg II - Wacker Burghausen	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Wacker Burghausen - Augsburg II	3:0 ✺
25.07.25	Aubstadt - Wacker Burghausen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW
- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
22.08.25	Illertissen - Unterhaching	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Illertissen - Nürnberg	4:3 penalties ✺
German Regionalliga Bayern
08.08.25	Illertissen - Greuther Fürth II	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Bayreuth - Illertissen	1:5 ✺
25.07.25	Illertissen - Würzburger Kickers	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
11.04.25	Wacker Burghausen - Illertissen	1:1
02.10.24	Illertissen - Wacker Burghausen	1:2
04.11.23	Wacker Burghausen - Illertissen	3:2
29.07.23	Illertissen - Wacker Burghausen	2:1
11.03.23	Wacker Burghausen - Illertissen	1:3
23.08.22	Illertissen - Wacker Burghausen	0:0
14.04.22	Wacker Burghausen - Illertissen	3:0

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