Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Wacker Arena (Burghausen)


	Wacker Burghausen		Viktoria Aschaffenburg

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.15	8.8
	1.34	5.31	7.18
	1.36	4.5	7.06
	1.5	4.2	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.55)	4.79 ↑ (4.1)	7.18 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wacker Burghausen
67.7%

Draw
19.3%

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

22.4%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

16.7%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wacker Burghausen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wacker Burghausen's performance.

Viktoria Aschaffenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viktoria Aschaffenburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wacker Burghausen than the current prediction. (-23.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wacker Burghausen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Aschaffenburg than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viktoria Aschaffenburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wacker Burghausen - Viktoria Aschaffenburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Bozan E. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Bachschmid F. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
60', 2 - 1, Bachschmid F. ⚽,
74', 3 - 1, Agbaje N. S. ⚽,
79', 4 - 1, Agbaje N. S. ⚽,
83', 4 - 2, Makridis G. ⚽,
90', 5 - 2, Sanne T. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burghausen won 2.

Burghausen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aschaffenburg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Burghausen is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Burghausen won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Burghausen won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wacker Burghausen
German Regionalliga Bayern
05.09.25	Buchbach - Wacker Burghausen	3:1 ✺
29.08.25	Wacker Burghausen - Illertissen	4:1 ✺
23.08.25	Eichstätt - Wacker Burghausen	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Wacker Burghausen - Vilzing	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Nürnberg II - Wacker Burghausen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWL
- Viktoria Aschaffenburg
German Regionalliga Bayern
05.09.25	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Würzburger Kickers	0:1 ✺
29.08.25	Ansbach - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Memmingen	0:3 ✺
15.08.25	Schwaben Augsburg - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	0:1 ✺
01.08.25	Hankofen-Hailing - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
09.11.24	Wacker Burghausen - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	0:0
26.07.24	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Wacker Burghausen	0:4
25.11.23	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Wacker Burghausen	1:1
19.08.23	Wacker Burghausen - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	1:0
26.11.22	Wacker Burghausen - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	1:1
02.08.22	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Wacker Burghausen	2:3
19.02.22	Wacker Burghausen - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	4:1

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