Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 1

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Petrosport Stadium (Cairo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Wadi Degla		El Gouna

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	2.75	3.75
	2.18	2.72	3.7	Watch
	2.26	2.72	4.38
	2.12	2.79	4.18	Watch
	2.2	2.7	3.75
	2.19	2.88	3.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.14)	2.76 ↓ (2.8)	3.92 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wadi Degla
42.8%

Draw
33.6%

El Gouna
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

33.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

33.1%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wadi Degla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

El Gouna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wadi Degla than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Wadi Degla - El Gouna Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Wadi Degla will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). El Gouna will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wadi Degla: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wadi Degla (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hossam A. (G) 2. Maher S. 28. Teka S. 3. Adly O. 21. Reda A. (C) 33. Miskic D. 11. Abdelrahim M. 44. El Shimi A. 47. Hassan H. 10. Diasty M. 9. Boli F.	23. Alaa M. (G) 13. El Gazar O. 5. El Shimi S. 4. Abdel Rasoul Ahmed 28. Metawea M. 14. El Sayed N. 29. Ojo T. 6. Ibrahim H. 17. Gamal A. 19. El Sayed B. 10. Mahmoud M. (C)
Substitutes
14. Abdelaati M. 12. Dahesh A. 25. El Bahnasi I. 32. Farouk A. 20. Oya Y. 24. Ragab M. 8. Scholes A. 18. Shaaban A. (G) 22. Zizo	20. Eid A. 22. El Nahas M. 25. El Said A. 24. El Zahdi A. 30. Emad M. 18. Jatta A. 8. Salah R. 16. Shahin H. (G) 36. Turay A.
Coaches
El Sheikh M.	Bebo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Ojo T. 🟨,
40', Adly O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ojo T. ↓, El Zahdi A. ↑,
50', El Sayed B. ↓, Belia A. ↑,
65', Boli F. ↓, Farouk A. ↑,
65', Abdelrahim M. ↓, Oya Y. ↑,
68', Mahmoud M. ↓, El Nahas M. ↑,
80', El Shimi A. 🟨,
80', Hassan H. ↓, El Bahnasi I. ↑,
80', Diasty M. ↓, Zizo ↑,
80', Metawea M. ↓, Emad M. ↑,
81', Gamal A. ↓, Jatta A. ↑,
86', El Bahnasi I. 🟥,
88', El Shimi A. ↓, Scholes A. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Wadi Degla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wadi Degla might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wadi Degla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Wadi Degla	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5
18	El Gouna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2

Last Results with these Odds

El Gouna - the odds 3.91 are the expected chance of winning is 23.67%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wadi Degla
Egyptian Premier League
06.03.26	El Gouna - Wadi Degla	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Wadi Degla - Ceramica Cleopatra	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Ismaily - Wadi Degla	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Al Masry - Wadi Degla	1:1 ✺
05.02.26	Wadi Degla - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTWTL
- El Gouna
Egyptian Premier League
10.03.26	El Gouna - Al Masry	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	El Gouna - Wadi Degla	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Ismaily - El Gouna	1:2 ✺
23.02.26	El Gouna - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:1 ✺
19.02.26	Al Ahly Cairo - El Gouna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
06.03.26	El Gouna - Wadi Degla	0:0
Egyptian League Cup
01.01.26	Wadi Degla - El Gouna	0:1
Egyptian Premier League
18.06.21	Wadi Degla - El Gouna	0:0
24.01.21	El Gouna - Wadi Degla	2:0
14.10.20	Wadi Degla - El Gouna	0:2
04.02.20	El Gouna - Wadi Degla	1:0
26.12.18	El Gouna - Wadi Degla	0:2

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