Match Info

Date: 9 January 2021, Saturday


	Waitakere United		Auckland City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.9	4.25	1.62
	3.45	3.95	1.65
	3.8	4.3	1.69
	4	4.61	1.7
	3.8	4	1.7
	3.94	4.25	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.71)	4.23 ↑ (4.11)	1.68 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waitakere United
23.9%

Draw
21.6%

Auckland City
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

21.9%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

17.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waitakere United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Auckland City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waitakere United than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland City than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auckland City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Waitakere United - Auckland City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Football Championship (Play Offs)).

Waitakere United is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Auckland City is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Auckland City is a favorite.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Waitakere United won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 25-57.

Including matches at home between the teams Waitakere United won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-31.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waitakere United
New Zealand Premiership
19.12.20	Hawkes Bay United - Waitakere United	2:0 ✺
11.12.20	Waitakere United - Hamilton Academical	1:1 ✺
05.12.20	Eastern Suburbs - Waitakere United	2:2 ✺
27.11.20	Waitakere United - Team Wellington	2:2 ✺
20.11.20	Waitakere United - Wellington Phoenix 2	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTTTL
- Auckland City FC
New Zealand Premiership
18.12.20	Auckland City - Wellington Phoenix 2	4:1 ✺
12.12.20	Canterbury United - Auckland City	1:0 ✺
05.12.20	Team Wellington - Auckland City	2:2 ✺
28.11.20	Auckland City - Hawkes Bay United	2:1 ✺
21.11.20	Hamilton Academical - Auckland City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Premiership
10.01.20	Waitakere United - Auckland City	2:6
16.03.19	Auckland City - Waitakere United	5:2
05.01.19	Waitakere United - Auckland City	0:2
06.01.18	Auckland City - Waitakere United	2:2
28.10.17	Waitakere United - Auckland City	0:5
25.02.17	Waitakere United - Auckland City	4:1
15.10.16	Auckland City - Waitakere United	0:1

Waitakere United - Auckland City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide