Match Info

National League - Championship Group - Round 9

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Kiwitea Street (Auckland)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Auckland City		Wellington Phoenix 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.33	4.95	6.3	Watch
	1.10	10.41	14.64	Watch
	1.3	5.05	7.6
	1.52	4.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.3)	6.23 ↑ (5.7)	8.44 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auckland City
73.2%

Draw
15.4%

Wellington Phoenix 2
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

16.4%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.4%

15.6%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auckland City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Wellington Phoenix 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix 2 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Auckland City - Wellington Phoenix 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auckland City won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Auckland City is the obvious favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Auckland City won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:13. (average 2.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Auckland City won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:10. (average 3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auckland City FC
New Zealand National League
14.11.25	Miramar Rangers - Auckland City	3:0 ✺
07.11.25	Auckland City - Auckland United	4:2 ✺
31.10.25	Christchurch United - Auckland City	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Auckland City - Auckland FC 2	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Wellington Olympic - Auckland City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTTW
- Wellington Phoenix 2
New Zealand National League
14.11.25	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Coastal Spirit	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Western Springs - Wellington Phoenix 2	3:0 ✺
24.10.25	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Miramar Rangers	1:4 ✺
17.10.25	Auckland United - Wellington Phoenix 2	0:0 ✺
10.10.25	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Christchurch United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand National League
09.11.24	Auckland City - Wellington Phoenix 2	3:4
23.09.23	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Auckland City	0:1
04.11.22	Auckland City - Wellington Phoenix 2	2:0
New Zealand Premiership
19.02.21	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Auckland City	1:1
18.12.20	Auckland City - Wellington Phoenix 2	4:1
08.02.20	Auckland City - Wellington Phoenix 2	3:2
22.11.19	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Auckland City	0:3

Auckland City - Wellington Phoenix 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide