Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 11

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Wally Daan		Stade de Mbour

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.52	2.62
	2.91	2.56	2.83	Watch
	2.6	2.54	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.01)	2.54 ↓ (2.6)	2.82 ↑ (2.71)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wally Daan
32.1%

Draw
35.7%

Stade de Mbour
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

35.4%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

33.4%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wally Daan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Stade de Mbour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wally Daan than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade de Mbour than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8).

Recent performances by Wally Daan have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mbour is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Mbour has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Wally Daan	30	10	14	6	29:24	5	44
10	Mbour	30	5	18	7	18:21	-3	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wally Daan FC
Senegal Ligue 1
07.01.26	Wally Daan - Dakar SC	1:1 ✺
28.12.25	AJEL de Rufisque - Wally Daan	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Wally Daan - Ouakam	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	HLM - Wally Daan	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Wally Daan - Camberene	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTTTW
- Stade de Mbour
Senegal Ligue 1
07.01.26	Stade de Mbour - AJEL de Rufisque	0:2 ✺
29.12.25	Ouakam - Stade de Mbour	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Camberene - Stade de Mbour	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Jaraaf - Stade de Mbour	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Pikine - Stade de Mbour	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLTT

Wally Daan - Stade de Mbour: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide